TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Volf vs Richard Krejci 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711211116117117
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 84 set 5, 11-7
84 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 7–7 Richard Krejci Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Volf beat Krejci 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.666 / Krejci 2.10
Czech Liga Pro · #13236311
Volf1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 34 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Krejci2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf7wins
AwayKrejci3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolf leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf75%6 of 8
AwayKrejcin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf8Krejci2n = 10Volf took 8 of 10
S2Volf7Krejci3n = 10Volf took 7 of 10
S3Volf6Krejci4n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S4Volf2Krejci2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfKrejciV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.934.6+3.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 401 vs 194 / 36252.1%53.6%209 / 401 vs 194 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.67/Krejci 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 22:00M. Volf541212811113R. Krejci52141011982
WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf331111113R. Krejci228950
LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf2571260R. Krejci361114113
WSep 6 · 19:00M. Volf331111113R. Krejci217680
LJul 20 · 02:00M. Volf351147131R. Krejci4471111153
WJan 22 · 01:30M. Volf361111143R. Krejci2888120
WSep 11 · 00:30M. Volf341111123R. Krejci2174100
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Volf47131111123R. Krejci4211138101
LAug 7 · 03:00M. Volf49121193142R. Krejci541061111163
WAug 6 · 22:30M. Volf331111113R. Krejci269980
M. Volf10
LOct 3 · 02:00P. Pycha1.5081111113M. Volf2.50113751LOct 3 · 00:30M. Volf3.4058111152S. Kadavy1.30111178113WOct 2 · 23:00M. Volf1.911311710113M. Vizek1.80112111282WOct 2 · 22:00R. Krejci2.10141011982M. Volf1.671212811113WOct 1 · 13:28D. Tuma1.801011871M. Volf1.9112811113LOct 1 · 12:00M. Volf1.67121121172P. Zmuda2.101061113113WOct 1 · 11:30M. Vizek1.806712111M. Volf1.91111110133WOct 1 · 10:00M. Volf1.83551111113D. Tuma1.8311118852WSep 23 · 13:30V. Cermak2.1061111992M. Volf1.65119511113LSep 23 · 12:00D. Tuma1.8011911163M. Volf1.919112141
R. Krejci10
LOct 3 · 02:30M. Vizek1.531116113R. Krejci2.3881480WOct 3 · 01:00P. Pycha1.7312119762R. Krejci2.001071111113WOct 2 · 23:30R. Krejci2.109101111113S. Kadavy1.6711129172LOct 2 · 22:00R. Krejci2.10141011982M. Volf1.671212811113WSep 30 · 03:30R. Krejci1.8511911113V. Dvorak1.85811771WSep 30 · 02:00R. Krejci2.201112113K. Schopf1.6161060WSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123WSep 29 · 21:30K. Brozhik1.53512981R. Krejci2.38111011113
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