TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Vizek vs Richard Krejci 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181614118––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:28 and never touched: 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 68 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Martin Vizek at 59.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 7–2 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:2859.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 5.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Vizek
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1567 vs Krejci 1676
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 40% vs Krejci 80%
Krejci
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 40% vs Krejci 80%
Krejci
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek -1 · Krejci +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Vizek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.533 / Krejci 2.375
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vizek)-5.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13227353
Vizek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 46 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Krejci2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVizek7wins
AwayKrejci2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderVizek leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek100%3 of 3
AwayKrejci33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek3Krejci6n = 9Krejci took 6 of 9
S2Vizek7Krejci2n = 9Vizek took 7 of 9
S3Vizek6Krejci3n = 9Vizek took 6 of 9
S4Vizek4Krejci3n = 7Vizek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricVizekKrejciV − KBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.933.8+6.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 435 vs 194 / 36150.1%53.7%218 / 435 vs 194 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.53/Krejci 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek531111119113R. Krejci4113721182
WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek3961111113R. Krejci33118861
WJul 30 · 02:00M. Vizek481111312113R. Krejci4476111462
WJul 25 · 01:30M. Vizek46111311113R. Krejci29415731
WApr 4 · 22:30M. Vizek331111113R. Krejci236890
LMar 27 · 23:30M. Vizek206860R. Krejci331111113
WDec 24 · 15:30M. Vizek3961111113R. Krejci24113371
WMay 25 · 00:00M. Vizek4791311143R. Krejci4011116121
LApr 6 · 00:30M. Vizek344111091R. Krejci3711312113
M. Vizek10
WOct 3 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.70511511112M. Vizek2.02118118133LOct 3 · 01:30S. Kadavy1.731110811113M. Vizek2.0071211492WOct 3 · 00:00M. Vizek2.00111195113P. Pycha1.7389111192LOct 2 · 23:00M. Volf1.911311710113M. Vizek1.80112111282WOct 2 · 20:58M. Vizek2.10101116113J. Pozarsky1.671261491LOct 2 · 20:00S. Kadavy1.8041111113M. Vizek1.91118861WOct 2 · 19:00J. Pozarsky1.534790M. Vizek2.381111113LOct 2 · 18:30M. Vizek1.67111011872D. Tuma2.10712411113LOct 1 · 17:00M. Vizek1.8369111172K. Kapras1.83111176113WOct 1 · 16:00K. Kapras1.61611471M. Vizek2.2011411113
R. Krejci10
LOct 3 · 02:59M. Volf1.67721111113R. Krejci2.1011116772WOct 3 · 01:00P. Pycha1.7312119762R. Krejci2.001071111113WOct 2 · 23:30R. Krejci2.109101111113S. Kadavy1.6711129172LOct 2 · 22:00R. Krejci2.10141011982M. Volf1.671212811113WSep 30 · 03:30R. Krejci1.8511911113V. Dvorak1.85811771WSep 30 · 02:00R. Krejci2.201112113K. Schopf1.6161060WSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123WSep 29 · 21:30K. Brozhik1.53512981R. Krejci2.38111011113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.