TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Wiza vs Grzegorz Sawicki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119114––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Wiza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1210119114––––
H2H Roman Wiza 52–34 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 34 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:0854.0%Our read56.2%to break even at 1.78
short by 2.2pp56.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.78 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Wiza
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
52-34 in 86
Wiza
Correct
gap of 18 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1287 vs Sawicki 1230
Wiza
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 20% vs Sawicki 0%
Wiza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Sawicki 10%
Wiza
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -3 · Sawicki -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wiza) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 1.78 / Sawicki 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wiza)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13235289
Wiza1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it81% 80 of 99
Sawicki1.93
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 127 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back20% 48 of 241
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza7wins
AwaySawicki3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWiza leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza77.8%7 of 9
AwaySawickin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza9Sawicki1n = 10Wiza took 9 of 10
S2Wiza7Sawicki3n = 10Wiza took 7 of 10
S3Wiza7Sawicki3n = 10Wiza took 7 of 10
S4Wiza2Sawicki4n = 6Sawicki took 4 of 6
S5Wiza1Sawicki2n = 3Sawicki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaSawickiW − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.232.1+8.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 945 vs 363 / 92343.2%39.3%408 / 945 vs 363 / 923Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WizaWiza 1.78/Sawicki 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wiza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza571691110113G. Sawicki49141161262
WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza45111211113G. Sawicki28314561
WAug 30 · 04:20R. Wiza4211911113G. Sawicki26711351
WAug 29 · 18:45R. Wiza331111113G. Sawicki218670
LJul 5 · 02:45R. Wiza28511481G. Sawicki4111811113
LJul 4 · 23:05R. Wiza52111181392G. Sawicki51951115113
WJun 28 · 01:10R. Wiza331111113G. Sawicki176830
WJun 27 · 17:30R. Wiza371115113G. Sawicki2681350
WMay 17 · 00:20R. Wiza331111113G. Sawicki167540
LMay 16 · 20:20R. Wiza4213116482G. Sawicki461121111113
R. Wiza10
LOct 3 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8552111372R. Szymik1.361111511113LOct 3 · 17:30R. Wiza2.15131011862M. Sikon1.601112711113LOct 3 · 04:20D. Fira1.851511173R. Wiza1.85138150WOct 3 · 03:30K. Kowalski3.258770R. Wiza1.301111113LOct 3 · 02:45R. Wiza—77110H. Tkaczyk—1111133LOct 3 · 01:10R. Wiza1.80961671A. Ruszkiewicz1.91111114113WOct 3 · 00:20J. Michalski2.80581141R. Wiza1.3711119113LOct 2 · 23:15R. Wiza2.752890H. Tkaczyk1.401111113WOct 2 · 22:05R. Wiza1.601112123W. Jozala2.20310100WOct 2 · 21:15R. Wiza1.441111113J. Michalski2.622650
G. Sawicki10
LOct 3 · 21:05R. Szymik1.1713117113G. Sawicki4.751141171LOct 3 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.881177101J. Badura1.8291111123LOct 3 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.3013118692M. Durda1.521171111113LOct 3 · 07:45G. Sawicki1.836580S. Sojka1.831111113LOct 3 · 06:30G. Sawicki2.007140L. Bernacki1.731111113LOct 3 · 05:15G. Sawicki2.259131661J. Jesiek1.57111514113LOct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.366131110113G. Sawicki3.00111171272WOct 3 · 03:25G. Sawicki1.73711411143O. Sokolowski2.00117117122LOct 3 · 01:45O. Vincenec1.731311611113G. Sawicki2.0015711872LOct 3 · 01:00K. Juszczyk1.4411127113G. Sawicki2.634101191
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