TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Robert Szymik vs Grzegorz Sawicki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311114711117––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched: 83.8% is still 83.8%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
83.8%
83.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1311114711117––
H2H Robert Szymik 43–12 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 12 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:5483.8%Our read85.5%to break even at 1.17
short by 1.7pp85.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.17 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (80%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
43-12 in 55
Szymik
Correct
gap of 31 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1423 vs Sawicki 1230
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Sawicki 0%
Szymik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 80% vs Sawicki 10%
Szymik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik -1 · Sawicki -7
Sawicki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% · Strong (leans Szymik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (0%) is below what odds imply (21%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.17 / Sawicki 4.75
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Szymik)-1.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13235288
Szymik1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 266 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it83% 204 of 246
Sawicki4.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 127 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back20% 48 of 241
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymik8wins
AwaySawicki2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik100%8 of 8
AwaySawickin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik8Sawicki2n = 10Szymik took 8 of 10
S2Szymik10Sawicki0n = 10Szymik took 10 of 10
S3Szymik7Sawicki3n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S4Szymik2Sawicki1n = 3Szymik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymikSawickiSzymik − SawickiBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.224.9+11.3per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 954 vs 363 / 92464.4%39.3%614 / 954 vs 363 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.17/Sawicki 4.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.8%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki187470
LSep 19 · 18:45R. Szymik50911121172G. Sawicki52119147113
LSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik408118131G. Sawicki4611911153
WSep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik341211113G. Sawicki2510960
WJun 28 · 21:35R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki177460
WJun 28 · 16:25R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki71330
WJun 28 · 01:55R. Szymik4012116113G. Sawicki341091141
WJun 27 · 19:55R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki185490
WJun 21 · 03:30R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki155460
WJun 20 · 21:30R. Szymik331111113G. Sawicki179620
R. Szymik10
LOct 3 · 19:55R. Szymik1.61791191M. Sikon2.2011113113WOct 3 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8552111372R. Szymik1.361111511113WOct 3 · 17:55R. Szymik1.5211119113J. Badura2.37571161WSep 27 · 04:40R. Szymik1.141111113J. Michalski4.705490LSep 27 · 03:05D. Fira2.95111168113R. Szymik1.3595111162WSep 27 · 02:20L. Bernacki2.458750R. Szymik1.491111113WSep 27 · 01:30R. Szymik2.371411113H. Tkaczyk1.5212660WSep 27 · 00:20R. Szymik1.401113113R. Wiza2.6581180WSep 26 · 22:40R. Szymik1.171114113J. Michalski4.8041270WSep 26 · 21:05D. Fira2.60212381R. Szymik1.44111011113
G. Sawicki10
LOct 3 · 20:20R. Wiza1.781211113G. Sawicki1.9310940LOct 3 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.881177101J. Badura1.8291111123LOct 3 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.3013118692M. Durda1.521171111113LOct 3 · 07:45G. Sawicki1.836580S. Sojka1.831111113LOct 3 · 06:30G. Sawicki2.007140L. Bernacki1.731111113LOct 3 · 05:15G. Sawicki2.259131661J. Jesiek1.57111514113LOct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.366131110113G. Sawicki3.00111171272WOct 3 · 03:25G. Sawicki1.73711411143O. Sokolowski2.00117117122LOct 3 · 01:45O. Vincenec1.731311611113G. Sawicki2.0015711872LOct 3 · 01:00K. Juszczyk1.4411127113G. Sawicki2.634101191
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