TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Plachy vs Jaroslav Prokupek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161150111210––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 0-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 66 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 121–101 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 101 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
121-101 in 222
Plachy
Correct
gap of 20 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1516 vs Prokupek 1425
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 60% vs Prokupek 80%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 60% vs Prokupek 40%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +1 · Prokupek +4
Prokupek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.833 / Prokupek 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13233197
Plachy1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Prokupek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayProkupek50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy2Prokupek8n = 10Prokupek took 8 of 10
S2Plachy8Prokupek2n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S3Plachy4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Plachy5Prokupek4n = 9Plachy took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyProkupekPlachy − ProkupekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.1+1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime735 / 1595 vs 668 / 139846.1%47.8%735 / 1595 vs 668 / 1398Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.83/Prokupek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 02:00J. Plachy3411110123J. Prokupek326511101
LOct 2 · 09:18J. Plachy401212881J. Prokupek46141011113
WOct 2 · 08:30J. Plachy49811811113J. Prokupek4511611982
WOct 1 · 12:30J. Plachy557151111113J. Prokupek50111361372
LSep 29 · 23:30J. Plachy28361181J. Prokupek4211119113
WSep 23 · 11:30J. Plachy3711114113J. Prokupek32981141
WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy4181111113J. Prokupek22114611
WSep 11 · 20:30J. Plachy4591411113J. Prokupek371112951
LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy4091110101J. Prokupek4211712123
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy237880J. Prokupek331111113
J. Plachy10
WOct 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.25891111113M. Vedmoch1.5711116982LOct 4 · 00:00J. Trefny1.83121168113J. Plachy1.83106111132WOct 3 · 22:30P. Fojt1.73341181J. Plachy2.0011116113WOct 3 · 21:05J. Plachy1.471111113J. Dedek2.508860LOct 3 · 20:00L. Krok1.7311411113J. Plachy2.00711571WOct 3 · 19:00J. Dedek2.257860J. Plachy1.571111113LOct 3 · 18:30J. Plachy1.6181161152K. Darin2.20119116113WOct 2 · 12:59J. Plachy2.25711511113R. Pavelka1.5711611972WOct 2 · 12:30R. Pavelka1.53911691J. Plachy2.3811911113LOct 2 · 11:30J. Plachy2.75812111062J. Stolfa1.401110812113
J. Prokupek10
WOct 4 · 00:30J. Prokupek1.57151479113P. Fojt2.251312111162WOct 3 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.831111113J. Trefny1.837890WOct 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.736930J. Prokupek2.001111113WOct 3 · 13:00J. Stolfa1.5391270J. Prokupek2.381114113LOct 3 · 12:30M. Vedmoch1.571191112113J. Prokupek2.2571171442LOct 3 · 11:30J. Prokupek2.3812830J. Stolfa1.531411113LOct 3 · 10:30T. Vinter1.401411113J. Prokupek2.7512860LOct 2 · 17:05T. Dousa1.10111197113J. Prokupek6.5098111182LOct 2 · 16:30J. Prokupek1.91511971T. Dousa1.8011711113LOct 2 · 15:00J. Prokupek1.91117781V. Postelt1.8081111113
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