TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Iurii Hrekh vs Myroslav Loboda 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116119117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Myroslav Loboda @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 44–57 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 44 of their 101 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:3454.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-57 in 101
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 13 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1765 vs Loboda 1679
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Loboda 40%
Hrekh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Loboda 40%
Hrekh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +2 · Loboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Loboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.10 / Loboda 1.666
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Loboda)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228881
Hrekh2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 87 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Loboda1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 163 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it93% 100 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it76% 136 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayLoboda6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S3Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh4Loboda1n = 5Hrekh took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.135.3−4.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 580 vs 496 / 96152.8%51.6%306 / 580 vs 496 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.10/Loboda 1.67
Miss
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Myroslav Loboda @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 02:15I. Hrekh3711411113M. Loboda27411481
LSep 25 · 10:35I. Hrekh227960M. Loboda331111113
LSep 24 · 14:35I. Hrekh2679100M. Loboda341111123
LSep 24 · 02:00I. Hrekh2031070M. Loboda341112113
WSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh46313712113M. Loboda481111111052
LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh206950M. Loboda331111113
WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh4211911113M. Loboda27511561
LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh31612851M. Loboda43111011113
WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh4251313113M. Loboda3911111161
LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh25105100M. Loboda351211123
I. Hrekh10
WOct 2 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.401111113A. Nazrin2.757680WOct 2 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671111133V. Krokhmal2.1046110LOct 2 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.7391211111V. Kaidakov2.00111013133LOct 2 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.61118111052V. Slozka2.20711412113WOct 1 · 10:35I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.005260LOct 1 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.5710880O. Rodin2.251211113WOct 1 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8081111113O. Pohonov1.91113781WOct 1 · 06:05I. Hrekh2.101411113I. Sukovatyi1.6712730WOct 1 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.911111123A. Romanenko1.8057100LSep 30 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.679970V. Slozka2.101111113
M. Loboda10
WOct 2 · 09:35M. Loboda1.83141111113V. Krokhmal1.83169591WOct 2 · 08:35M. Loboda1.7311119113V. Slozka2.00691161LOct 2 · 07:05M. Loboda1.80711111192A. Nazrin1.91111366113LOct 2 · 05:05M. Loboda1.91271161V. Kaidakov1.8011113113LOct 1 · 18:05Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113M. Loboda1.446530LOct 1 · 17:05M. Loboda1.61121111592D. Shchegelskyi2.20148411113WOct 1 · 16:05M. Loboda2.001114113V. Kaidakov1.7361280WOct 1 · 14:35M. Loboda1.73591211113A. Nazrin2.00111110892LOct 1 · 12:35M. Loboda1.831110861V. Krokhmal1.8371211113LOct 1 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.6317411113M. Loboda1.441511651
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