TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Iurii Hrekh vs Oleksii Rodin 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Iurii Hrekh at 60.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 5–4 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:0160.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1755 vs Rodin 1688
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 80% vs Rodin 60%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Rodin 30%
Hrekh
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +3 · Rodin -1
Hrekh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Hrekh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.571 / Rodin 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hrekh)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223678
Hrekh1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 162 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it98% 97 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it81% 127 of 156
Rodin2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwayRodin4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHrekh leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh66.7%2 of 3
AwayRodin50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh3Rodin6n = 9Rodin took 6 of 9
S2Hrekh6Rodin3n = 9Hrekh took 6 of 9
S3Hrekh4Rodin5n = 9Rodin took 5 of 9
S4Hrekh6Rodin0n = 6Hrekh took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHrekhRodinH − RBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.135.0+3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 575 vs 206 / 35452.7%58.2%303 / 575 vs 206 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.57/Rodin 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 1 · 09:05I. Hrekh2610880O. Rodin341211113
WSep 28 · 23:15I. Hrekh44111111113O. Rodin34138491
LSep 25 · 06:05I. Hrekh2381050O. Rodin341112113
WSep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh47131112113O. Rodin361131481
WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh331111113O. Rodin136340
LSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh4013441182O. Rodin531111119113
WAug 28 · 04:35I. Hrekh43101111113O. Rodin30126391
LAug 27 · 12:05I. Hrekh4881191192O. Rodin49117119113
WAug 26 · 20:00I. Hrekh3961111113O. Rodin32118851
I. Hrekh10
WOct 1 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8081111113O. Pohonov1.91113781WOct 1 · 06:05I. Hrekh2.101411113I. Sukovatyi1.6712730WOct 1 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.911111123A. Romanenko1.8057100LSep 30 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.679970V. Slozka2.101111113WSep 30 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.731111113B. Chaikovskyi2.009760LSep 30 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.80101171182O. Pohonov1.91125113113WSep 30 · 13:35I. Hrekh2.20111110113I. Sukovatyi1.61961221LSep 30 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.835111051A. Romanenko1.8311912113WSep 29 · 02:15I. Hrekh2.2011411113M. Loboda1.61411481LSep 29 · 00:45I. Hrekh1.53791171R. Konkulovskyi2.3811118113
O. Rodin10
LOct 1 · 08:05O. Rodin2.75111050I. Sukovatyi1.401312113WOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka1.834113101O. Rodin1.8311911123WOct 1 · 05:35O. Rodin1.91111210113O. Pohonov1.809101251LSep 30 · 03:00O. Rodin1.802138121O. Pohonov1.91111111143WSep 30 · 01:00B. Chaikovskyi1.91111371252O. Rodin1.808151110113LSep 29 · 23:00R. Konkulovskyi1.4011911113O. Rodin2.75511891LSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113LSep 29 · 21:00A. Romanenko1.831161111113O. Rodin1.8391113812LSep 29 · 03:15O. Rodin1.801171181V. Slozka1.9151113113LSep 29 · 01:15M. Loboda2.0011811113O. Rodin1.73911871
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