TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Iurii Hrekh vs Myroslav Loboda 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114411114118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:07 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Myroslav Loboda @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 64 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Myroslav Loboda at 56.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 43–57 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 43 of their 100 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-57 in 100
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 14 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1730 vs Loboda 1732
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Loboda 60%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 40% vs Loboda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -1 · Loboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Loboda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.20 / Loboda 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Loboda)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13208122
Hrekh2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 83 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Loboda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 163 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it93% 101 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it75% 137 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayLoboda6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S3Hrekh3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Hrekh4Loboda1n = 5Hrekh took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.836.3−4.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 565 vs 496 / 95652.6%51.9%297 / 565 vs 496 / 956Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.20/Loboda 1.61
Miss
What we said
56.3%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Myroslav Loboda @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 10:35I. Hrekh227960M. Loboda331111113
LSep 24 · 14:35I. Hrekh2679100M. Loboda341111123
LSep 24 · 02:00I. Hrekh2031070M. Loboda341112113
WSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh46313712113M. Loboda481111111052
LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh206950M. Loboda331111113
WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh4211911113M. Loboda27511561
LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh31612851M. Loboda43111011113
WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh4251313113M. Loboda3911111161
LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh25105100M. Loboda351211123
WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh4411616113M. Loboda377111451
I. Hrekh10
LSep 29 · 00:45I. Hrekh1.53791171R. Konkulovskyi2.3811118113WSep 28 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.67111111113O. Rodin2.10138491LSep 28 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.615630V. Slozka2.201111113WSep 28 · 20:15I. Hrekh1.6111118113V. Krokhmal2.20791161LSep 25 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.207960M. Loboda1.611111113WSep 25 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113A. Nazrin2.638740LSep 25 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.579490V. Slozka2.251111113LSep 25 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.5081050O. Rodin2.501112113LSep 25 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67816971V. Krokhmal2.10111411113WSep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh1.50131112113O. Rodin2.501131481
M. Loboda10
WSep 29 · 01:15M. Loboda2.0011811113O. Rodin1.73911871WSep 29 · 00:15M. Loboda1.8381111153V. Krokhmal1.831176131LSep 28 · 22:45M. Loboda2.3891211582R. Konkulovskyi1.531110611113LSep 28 · 20:45M. Loboda1.678760V. Slozka2.101111113WSep 25 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.207960M. Loboda1.611111113LSep 25 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6161171182V. Slozka2.20119117113WSep 25 · 08:35M. Loboda1.831411113V. Krokhmal1.8312490WSep 25 · 07:05M. Loboda1.8311711113A. Nazrin1.83311991LSep 25 · 05:05M. Loboda1.91112841O. Rodin1.8091111113LSep 24 · 18:05A. Nazrin2.1091111113M. Loboda1.67118871
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