TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Avraham Nazrin vs Myroslav Loboda 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Avraham Nazrin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118118117––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAvraham Nazrin above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Avraham Nazrin 2–2 Myroslav Loboda Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazrin 1678 vs Loboda 1769
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazrin 40% vs Loboda 60%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazrin 40% vs Loboda 70%
Loboda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazrin -2 · Loboda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazrin 2.10 / Loboda 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Loboda)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13186164
Nazrin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog64% won 7 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back40% 2 of 5
Loboda1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 160 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it93% 98 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it75% 134 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNazrin2wins
AwayLoboda2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazrinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazrin1Loboda3n = 4Loboda took 3 of 4
S2Nazrin2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
S3Nazrin2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricNazrinLobodaN − LBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.231.8−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazrinLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 27 vs 501 / 96655.6%51.9%15 / 27 vs 501 / 966Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaNazrin 2.10/Loboda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nazrin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 7 · 09:35A. Nazrin45511117113M. Loboda3911871122
LAug 6 · 18:05A. Nazrin197750M. Loboda331111113
WJul 31 · 08:35A. Nazrin351113113M. Loboda2271140
LJul 30 · 14:35A. Nazrin228950M. Loboda331111113
A. Nazrin10
LSep 24 · 16:35A. Nazrin2.388880I. Hrekh1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:05A. Nazrin2.201110881V. Krokhmal1.6191211113WSep 24 · 13:35A. Nazrin1.5741111113V. Slozka2.25114381LSep 24 · 12:05A. Nazrin1.80771171O. Rodin1.9111119113WAug 7 · 11:35A. Nazrin1.57111269113O. Pohonov2.25610111172WAug 7 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6711871122A. Nazrin2.10511117113WAug 7 · 07:35Y. Opryshchenko1.912870A. Nazrin1.801111113LAug 7 · 06:35A. Nazrin1.6751131192V. Kaidakov2.10119118113LAug 7 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.8311811113A. Nazrin1.83811591LAug 6 · 18:05A. Nazrin1.807750M. Loboda1.911111113
M. Loboda10
LSep 24 · 17:05M. Loboda1.831011131182V. Krokhmal1.83126156113LSep 24 · 16:05M. Loboda1.738790O. Rodin2.001111113WSep 24 · 14:35M. Loboda1.671111123I. Hrekh2.1079100WSep 24 · 12:35M. Loboda1.671111113V. Slozka2.106500WSep 24 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.0031070M. Loboda1.731112113WSep 24 · 01:00M. Loboda1.671111113V. Slozka2.107780WSep 24 · 24:00M. Loboda1.91111111113V. Krokhmal1.80371311LSep 23 · 22:30M. Loboda2.10911961R. Konkulovskyi1.6711611113LAug 7 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6711871122A. Nazrin2.10511117113WAug 6 · 18:05A. Nazrin1.807750M. Loboda1.911111113
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