TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Rodin vs Oleksandr Pohonov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
21113118111214––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 82 set 4, 12-14 · our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 1–0 Oleksandr Pohonov Oleksandr Pohonov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:54What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1663 vs Pohonov 1762
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 20% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 30% vs Pohonov 50%
Pohonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin +1 · Pohonov +3
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pohonov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 1.80 / Pohonov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pohonov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13213607
Rodin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 148 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it95% 72 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 130
Pohonov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRodin1wins
AwayPohonov0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRodin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRodinPohonovR − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.045.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 349 vs 291 / 56158.2%51.9%203 / 349 vs 291 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovRodin 1.80/Pohonov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 00:15O. Rodin46114911113O. Pohonov4581111962
O. Rodin10
WSep 30 · 01:00B. Chaikovskyi1.91111371252O. Rodin1.808151110113LSep 29 · 23:00R. Konkulovskyi1.4011911113O. Rodin2.75511891LSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113LSep 29 · 21:00A. Romanenko1.831161111113O. Rodin1.8391113812LSep 29 · 03:15O. Rodin1.801171181V. Slozka1.9151113113LSep 29 · 01:15M. Loboda2.0011811113O. Rodin1.73911871LSep 28 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.67111111113O. Rodin2.10138491WSep 28 · 22:15O. Rodin1.61112511113V. Krokhmal2.2041111632LSep 28 · 21:15R. Konkulovskyi1.571111113O. Rodin2.258470WSep 27 · 00:15O. Pohonov1.6781111962O. Rodin2.10114911113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 30 · 01:30O. Pohonov1.30111189113I. Sukovatyi3.4047111182WSep 29 · 23:30A. Romanenko2.63101111942O. Pohonov1.44124811113WSep 29 · 21:30R. Konkulovskyi2.2011127862O. Pohonov1.617101111113LSep 29 · 20:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5011117113O. Pohonov2.50851191LSep 27 · 01:50O. Pohonov2.38114971B. Chaikovskyi1.5381111113LSep 27 · 00:15O. Pohonov1.6781111962O. Rodin2.10114911113WSep 26 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.508560O. Pohonov1.501111113LSep 26 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi1.531118153O. Pohonov2.38916130WSep 26 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi3.40119761O. Pohonov1.3091111113LSep 24 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko1.501111113O. Pohonov2.505970
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