TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Rodin vs Ihor Sukovatyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012511––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 62 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 66.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 0–2 Ihor Sukovatyi Oleksii Rodin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5966.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1683 vs Sukovatyi 1707
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 60% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 30% vs Sukovatyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin +2 · Sukovatyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Sukovatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 2.75 / Sukovatyi 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223708
Rodin2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Sukovatyi1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 179 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it97% 100 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 140 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRodin0wins
AwaySukovatyi2wins
Sukovatyi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRodinSukovatyiR − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.540.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 352 vs 297 / 55058.2%54%205 / 352 vs 297 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiRodin 2.75/Sukovatyi 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin341110581I. Sukovatyi4171211113
LSep 26 · 22:45O. Rodin2915860I. Sukovatyi391711113
O. Rodin10
WOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka1.834113101O. Rodin1.8311911123WOct 1 · 05:35O. Rodin1.91111210113O. Pohonov1.809101251LSep 30 · 03:00O. Rodin1.802138121O. Pohonov1.91111111143WSep 30 · 01:00B. Chaikovskyi1.91111371252O. Rodin1.808151110113LSep 29 · 23:00R. Konkulovskyi1.4011911113O. Rodin2.75511891LSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113LSep 29 · 21:00A. Romanenko1.831161111113O. Rodin1.8391113812LSep 29 · 03:15O. Rodin1.801171181V. Slozka1.9151113113LSep 29 · 01:15M. Loboda2.0011811113O. Rodin1.73911871LSep 28 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.67111111113O. Rodin2.10138491
I. Sukovatyi10
LOct 1 · 06:05I. Hrekh2.101411113I. Sukovatyi1.6712730WOct 1 · 05:05V. Slozka2.6381121182I. Sukovatyi1.44118119113LSep 30 · 19:05O. Pohonov1.301111113I. Sukovatyi3.406680WSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.107560LSep 30 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi1.8011811113I. Sukovatyi1.91611461LSep 30 · 13:35I. Hrekh2.20111110113I. Sukovatyi1.61961221WSep 30 · 12:35V. Slozka2.5051130I. Sukovatyi1.501113113LSep 30 · 02:30A. Romanenko2.101111113I. Sukovatyi1.677630LSep 30 · 01:30O. Pohonov1.30111189113I. Sukovatyi3.4047111182WSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113
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