TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Slozka vs Ihor Sukovatyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113311––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched: 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 54 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 63.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 7–16 Ihor Sukovatyi Viktor Slozka has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2563.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-16 in 23
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1734 vs Sukovatyi 1709
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Sukovatyi 50%
Slozka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Sukovatyi -3
Sukovatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Sukovatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.50 / Sukovatyi 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13219105
Slozka2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 116 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back26% 30 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Sukovatyi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 177 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it97% 98 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it82% 138 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwaySukovatyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%3 of 3
AwaySukovatyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Slozka3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Slozka5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Slozka4Sukovatyi1n = 5Slozka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaSukovatyiSlozka − SukovatyiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.735.6−2.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 851 vs 294 / 54345.7%54.1%389 / 851 vs 294 / 543Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSlozka 2.50/Sukovatyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 02:30V. Slozka152940I. Sukovatyi331111113
WAug 30 · 23:45V. Slozka46411911113I. Sukovatyi4611911872
WJul 27 · 02:45V. Slozka4061112113I. Sukovatyi381191081
LJul 13 · 02:45V. Slozka219660I. Sukovatyi331111113
WJul 2 · 18:35V. Slozka331111113I. Sukovatyi237880
WJul 2 · 02:30V. Slozka43111011113I. Sukovatyi35512991
LJun 25 · 11:35V. Slozka29731181I. Sukovatyi3811115113
WJun 24 · 19:05V. Slozka4011612113I. Sukovatyi367111081
LJun 23 · 21:00V. Slozka341410100I. Sukovatyi401612123
LJun 15 · 02:45V. Slozka2679100I. Sukovatyi341111123
V. Slozka10
WSep 29 · 03:15O. Rodin1.801171181V. Slozka1.9151113113LSep 29 · 01:45V. Slozka1.80111011782V. Krokhmal1.91312811113WSep 28 · 23:45R. Konkulovskyi1.83109111172V. Slozka1.83121148113WSep 28 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.615630V. Slozka2.201111113WSep 28 · 20:45M. Loboda1.678760V. Slozka2.101111113LSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka1.83111251192O. Rodin1.83714117113WSep 25 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6161171182V. Slozka2.20119117113WSep 25 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.579490V. Slozka2.251111113WSep 25 · 06:35V. Slozka1.8310111110113V. Krokhmal1.8312671232WSep 25 · 05:35A. Nazrin1.5011911362V. Slozka2.50511511113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 30 · 13:35I. Hrekh2.20111110113I. Sukovatyi1.61961221LSep 30 · 02:30A. Romanenko2.101111113I. Sukovatyi1.677630LSep 30 · 01:30O. Pohonov1.30111189113I. Sukovatyi3.4047111182LSep 30 · 00:00B. Chaikovskyi1.831111113I. Sukovatyi1.839540WSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113WSep 29 · 20:00R. Konkulovskyi2.001161111102I. Sukovatyi1.73511713123WSep 27 · 01:19I. Sukovatyi1.61411117113A. Romanenko2.2011591192WSep 26 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.8311711642I. Sukovatyi1.83611911113WSep 26 · 22:45I. Sukovatyi1.531711113O. Rodin2.3815860LSep 26 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.2012116113I. Sukovatyi1.611061151
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