TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Chaikovskyi vs Ihor Sukovatyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115114––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 37–46 Ihor Sukovatyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 37 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
37-46 in 83
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1833 vs Sukovatyi 1744
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Sukovatyi 100%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 70% vs Sukovatyi 50%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +4 · Sukovatyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Chaikovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.83 / Sukovatyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13213616
Chaikovskyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sukovatyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi6wins
AwaySukovatyi4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi75%3 of 4
AwaySukovatyi50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi7Sukovatyi3n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi6Sukovatyi4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi5n = 9Sukovatyi took 5 of 9
S5Chaikovskyi2Sukovatyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.8−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 799 vs 294 / 54052.2%54.4%417 / 799 vs 294 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.83/Sukovatyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi3911711642I. Sukovatyi48611911113
WSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi341112113I. Sukovatyi2891090
WSep 23 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi3911125113I. Sukovatyi377101191
LSep 22 · 22:00B. Chaikovskyi40610111122I. Sukovatyi45111238113
WSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi46811115113I. Sukovatyi4811891192
LSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi371012871I. Sukovatyi44121011113
LSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi378101271I. Sukovatyi44111210113
WSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi45411811113I. Sukovatyi4311911662
WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi3711114113I. Sukovatyi30661171
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 29 · 22:30B. Chaikovskyi1.50871111113A. Romanenko2.5011112692WSep 29 · 20:30B. Chaikovskyi1.5011117113O. Pohonov2.50851191WSep 27 · 01:50O. Pohonov2.38114971B. Chaikovskyi1.5381111113WSep 27 · 00:45B. Chaikovskyi1.5011812113A. Romanenko2.506111041LSep 26 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.8311711642I. Sukovatyi1.83611911113WSep 26 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi1.531118153O. Pohonov2.38916130LSep 26 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.67791161O. Rodin2.1011116113WSep 24 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.2041211113V. Zharskiy1.611110681LSep 24 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.576570G. Kuzmenko2.251111113WSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911112113I. Sukovatyi1.8091090
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 29 · 22:00O. Rodin2.751110581I. Sukovatyi1.4071211113WSep 29 · 20:00R. Konkulovskyi2.001161111102I. Sukovatyi1.73511713123WSep 27 · 01:19I. Sukovatyi1.61411117113A. Romanenko2.2011591192WSep 26 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.8311711642I. Sukovatyi1.83611911113WSep 26 · 22:45I. Sukovatyi1.531711113O. Rodin2.3815860LSep 26 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.2012116113I. Sukovatyi1.611061151LSep 26 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi3.40119761O. Pohonov1.3091111113LSep 24 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi1.61188741A. Romanenko2.20161111113LSep 24 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.631111113I. Sukovatyi1.444870LSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911112113I. Sukovatyi1.8091090
Upcoming Matches
B. Chaikovskyi
I. Sukovatyi
Sep 30 · 01:30I. Sukovatyi3.40O. Pohonov1.30—Sep 30 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.67A. Romanenko2.10—Sep 30 · 12:35I. Sukovatyi1.50V. Slozka2.50—Sep 30 · 13:35I. Sukovatyi1.61I. Hrekh2.20—Sep 30 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.83B. Chaikovskyi1.83—Sep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.67A. Romanenko2.10—Sep 30 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi3.40O. Pohonov1.30—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.