TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sukovatyi vs Andrii Romanenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1816811711411––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 18-16
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 86 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 59.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 44–36 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 36 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-36 in 80
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1719 vs Romanenko 1705
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Romanenko 20%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 50% vs Romanenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -3 · Romanenko -2
Sukovatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.61 / Romanenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13185419
Sukovatyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 178 of 297
Up 2–0, closes it97% 98 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it83% 139 of 168
Romanenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 75 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayRomanenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi4Romanenko3n = 7Sukovatyi took 4 of 7
S5Sukovatyi2Romanenko1n = 3Sukovatyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.9+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 532 vs 310 / 58254.3%53.3%289 / 532 vs 310 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.61/Romanenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi44921111113A. Romanenko4311118942
WSep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi361111143A. Romanenko2594120
WSep 19 · 23:15I. Sukovatyi351311113A. Romanenko2611690
LSep 17 · 08:35I. Sukovatyi4011461182A. Romanenko48711118113
WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi46115118113A. Romanenko4271171162
WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko184860
LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi281021151A. Romanenko4012116113
WSep 12 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko28611651
LSep 10 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi32811491A. Romanenko4211911113
WSep 9 · 17:05I. Sukovatyi4111118113A. Romanenko37991181
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 24 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.631111113I. Sukovatyi1.444870LSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911112113I. Sukovatyi1.8091090LSep 24 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi3.4011651242O. Pohonov1.305111110113WSep 24 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2537100I. Sukovatyi1.571111123WSep 23 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.2511118942I. Sukovatyi1.57921111113LSep 23 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.837101191B. Chaikovskyi1.8311125113WSep 23 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko2.203950I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 23 · 13:35V. Zharskiy2.5097200I. Sukovatyi1.501111223LSep 23 · 12:35O. Pohonov1.331112113I. Sukovatyi3.2541080WSep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.611111143A. Romanenko2.2094120
A. Romanenko10
LSep 24 · 10:05A. Romanenko2.50911481O. Pohonov1.5011811113LSep 24 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko3.001111113A. Romanenko1.366880WSep 24 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5061211792A. Romanenko2.501110611113LSep 24 · 05:05V. Zharskiy2.6341111113A. Romanenko1.44117761LSep 23 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.2511118942I. Sukovatyi1.57921111113WSep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov1.509980A. Romanenko2.501111113WSep 23 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.509860A. Romanenko1.501111113LSep 23 · 14:05A. Romanenko2.508111251B. Chaikovskyi1.5011814113WSep 23 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko3.2512812872A. Romanenko1.3310111011113LSep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.611111143A. Romanenko2.2094120
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