TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sukovatyi vs Oleksandr Pohonov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156115111210411
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 86 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 73.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 21–54 Oleksandr Pohonov Ihor Sukovatyi has won 21 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-54 in 75
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 33 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1736 vs Pohonov 1750
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 80% vs Pohonov 40%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 70% vs Pohonov 40%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +2 · Pohonov -3
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 3.40 / Pohonov 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13185434
Sukovatyi3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Pohonov1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 185 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it93% 95 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it77% 135 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi0wins
AwayPohonov10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPohonov100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S2Sukovatyi0Pohonov10n = 10Pohonov took 10 of 10
S3Sukovatyi4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi2Pohonov3n = 5Pohonov took 3 of 5
S5Sukovatyi0Pohonov3n = 3Pohonov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiPohonovS − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.539.2−8.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 531 vs 284 / 54954.4%51.7%289 / 531 vs 284 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovSukovatyi 3.40/Pohonov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi3811651242O. Pohonov485111110113
LSep 23 · 12:35I. Sukovatyi2241080O. Pohonov341112113
LSep 22 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi248970O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 20 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi183780O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 17 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi549101114102O. Pohonov491112212123
LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi178360O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi356101361O. Pohonov45111211113
LSep 10 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi409911111O. Pohonov4011115133
LSep 9 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi4511711882O. Pohonov44611511113
LSep 3 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi124530O. Pohonov331111113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911112113I. Sukovatyi1.8091090WSep 24 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2537100I. Sukovatyi1.571111123WSep 23 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.2511118942I. Sukovatyi1.57921111113LSep 23 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.837101191B. Chaikovskyi1.8311125113WSep 23 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko2.203950I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 23 · 13:35V. Zharskiy2.5097200I. Sukovatyi1.501111223LSep 23 · 12:35O. Pohonov1.331112113I. Sukovatyi3.2541080WSep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.611111143A. Romanenko2.2094120LSep 23 · 01:00V. Zharskiy2.751113113I. Sukovatyi1.4061170WSep 22 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.101012671I. Sukovatyi1.67121011113
O. Pohonov10
LSep 24 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5012611113O. Pohonov2.501011691LSep 23 · 18:05V. Zharskiy1.6111711113O. Pohonov2.20911561LSep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov1.509980A. Romanenko2.501111113WSep 23 · 16:05O. Pohonov2.3811611113B. Chaikovskyi1.53911781WSep 23 · 14:35O. Pohonov2.6391512113G. Kuzmenko1.4411131041WSep 23 · 12:35O. Pohonov1.331112113I. Sukovatyi3.2541080LSep 23 · 02:30O. Pohonov2.381185101B. Chaikovskyi1.5361111123LSep 23 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko1.4411117113O. Pohonov2.63581121WSep 22 · 23:30O. Pohonov1.571111113A. Romanenko2.259930LSep 22 · 22:30V. Zharskiy1.6111614113O. Pohonov2.207111291
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.