TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Chaikovskyi vs Gregory Kuzmenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511711––––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:06 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 56.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 23–13 Gregory Kuzmenko Gregory Kuzmenko has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-13 in 36
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1824 vs Kuzmenko 1747
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Kuzmenko 60%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 70% vs Kuzmenko 50%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +1 · Kuzmenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Chaikovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.57 / Kuzmenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13185279
Chaikovskyi1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 98 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 68 of 88
Kuzmenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 63 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaikovskyi4Kuzmenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaikovskyi2Kuzmenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiKuzmenkoC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.1+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 790 vs 288 / 57952%49.7%411 / 790 vs 288 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.57/Kuzmenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 18:35B. Chaikovskyi351311113G. Kuzmenko2111730
WSep 22 · 20:00B. Chaikovskyi47681111113G. Kuzmenko3411111382
LSep 17 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi32115971G. Kuzmenko3961111113
WSep 16 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi4111811113G. Kuzmenko35911871
LSep 16 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi237970G. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi4211661182G. Kuzmenko48911116113
LSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi48911101172G. Kuzmenko43116123113
WAug 29 · 20:15B. Chaikovskyi51119119113G. Kuzmenko4351181182
LAug 27 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi408111291G. Kuzmenko45111310113
LAug 22 · 23:15B. Chaikovskyi35911691G. Kuzmenko4011711113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 24 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911112113I. Sukovatyi1.8091090LSep 24 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5061211792A. Romanenko2.501110611113WSep 24 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5012611113O. Pohonov2.501011691WSep 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.1011730B. Chaikovskyi1.671311113WSep 23 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.837101191B. Chaikovskyi1.8311125113LSep 23 · 16:05O. Pohonov2.3811611113B. Chaikovskyi1.53911781WSep 23 · 14:05A. Romanenko2.508111251B. Chaikovskyi1.5011814113LSep 23 · 12:05V. Zharskiy1.57691611113B. Chaikovskyi2.25111114182WSep 23 · 02:30O. Pohonov2.381185101B. Chaikovskyi1.5361111123WSep 23 · 01:30A. Romanenko2.259540B. Chaikovskyi1.571111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 24 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko3.001111113A. Romanenko1.366880WSep 24 · 07:05V. Zharskiy2.505111041G. Kuzmenko1.5011712113LSep 24 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2537100I. Sukovatyi1.571111123LSep 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.1011730B. Chaikovskyi1.671311113WSep 23 · 16:35V. Zharskiy2.386750G. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 23 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko2.203950I. Sukovatyi1.611111113LSep 23 · 14:35O. Pohonov2.6391512113G. Kuzmenko1.4411131041LSep 23 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko3.2512812872A. Romanenko1.3310111011113WSep 23 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.50111111113V. Zharskiy2.50713791WSep 23 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko1.4411117113O. Pohonov2.63581121
Upcoming Matches
B. Chaikovskyi
Nothing scheduled
G. Kuzmenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.