TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Oskar Jadach 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116711711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Adamus above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Oskar Jadach at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Adamus 1–8 Oskar Jadach Pawel Adamus has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:0454.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Jadach
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1426 vs Jadach 1417
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -3 · Jadach -1
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.833 / Jadach 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadach)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13227380
Adamus1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jadach1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdamus1wins
AwayJadach8wins
3 of 9 to a deciderJadach leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus25%1 of 4
AwayJadach100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Jadach5n = 9Jadach took 5 of 9
S2Adamus3Jadach6n = 9Jadach took 6 of 9
S3Adamus2Jadach7n = 9Jadach took 7 of 9
S4Adamus3Jadach4n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7
S5Adamus0Jadach3n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamusJadachA − JBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.643.2−4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 723 vs 786 / 130955.3%60.1%400 / 723 vs 786 / 1309Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachAdamus 1.83/Jadach 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 07:10P. Adamus2914780O. Jadach381611113
WSep 17 · 01:10P. Adamus3411111113O. Jadach31491171
LMay 1 · 04:50P. Adamus4911111891O. Jadach5213820113
LApr 4 · 14:20P. Adamus4712971182O. Jadach471011114113
LApr 4 · 06:20P. Adamus351159101O. Jadach4281111123
LJan 27 · 04:30P. Adamus4061211472O. Jadach511110811113
LJan 26 · 22:30P. Adamus3610101151O. Jadach4212127113
LJan 24 · 14:10P. Adamus4611881182O. Jadach49911117113
LJan 24 · 10:55P. Adamus311010110O. Jadach371212133
P. Adamus10
LOct 2 · 03:00P. Adamus1.531111861K. Schaniel2.3813811113LSep 30 · 08:00P. Adamus2.10571161M. Lebek1.6511118113LSep 30 · 06:45P. Adamus1.831112611112W. Urban1.88714117133WSep 30 · 05:35P. Adamus1.441111113J. Kaczmarek2.628490WSep 30 · 04:25M. Cesarz4.378101281P. Adamus1.18111210113WSep 30 · 03:35P. Adamus1.8891212113M. Guzik1.8211101061WSep 30 · 02:45P. Adamus1.31111411113O. Sokolowski3.25716571LSep 30 · 01:10P. Adamus1.757770P. Kurek1.951111113LSep 30 · 00:00P. Adamus1.52911111162M. Lebek2.30111359113WSep 29 · 22:25P. Adamus1.75111110133M. Adamus1.957912111
O. Jadach10
LOct 2 · 03:25O. Jadach1.839511101W. Urban1.8311118123WSep 30 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.0061151142O. Jadach1.73113119113WSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.507740O. Jadach1.171111113WSep 30 · 11:00K. Kowalski6.501061181O. Jadach1.1012116113LSep 30 · 09:25K. Adamus2.10119118163O. Jadach1.67811511142LSep 30 · 08:35I. Szymanski4.5011115143O. Jadach1.179611121LSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113WSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50138281O. Jadach1.28111111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Oct 2 · 05:40P. Adamus2.00R. Skotniczny1.73—Oct 2 · 06:55P. Adamus1.28M. Cesarz3.50—Oct 2 · 08:35P. Adamus1.44W. Urban2.63—Oct 2 · 09:50P. Adamus2.00R. Skotniczny1.73—Oct 2 · 10:35P. Adamus1.50K. Schaniel2.50—Oct 2 · 12:15P. Adamus1.44W. Urban2.63—Oct 2 · 13:05P. Adamus1.28M. Cesarz3.50—Oct 2 · 13:55P. Adamus1.83O. Jadach1.83—
O. Jadach
Oct 2 · 05:15O. Jadach1.50K. Schaniel2.50—Oct 2 · 06:30O. Jadach2.10R. Skotniczny1.67—Oct 2 · 07:45O. Jadach1.25M. Cesarz3.75—Oct 2 · 09:25O. Jadach1.61W. Urban2.20—Oct 2 · 10:10O. Jadach1.25M. Cesarz3.75—Oct 2 · 11:25O. Jadach1.50K. Schaniel2.50—Oct 2 · 12:40O. Jadach2.10R. Skotniczny1.67—Oct 2 · 13:55O. Jadach1.83P. Adamus1.83—
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