TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Michal Guzik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91112101210116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
91112101210116––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Guzik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1441 vs Guzik 1554
Guzik
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Guzik 60%
Guzik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Guzik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Guzik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Guzik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.88 / Guzik 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13216690
Adamus1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 88 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Guzik1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 28)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite76% won 168 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it98% 97 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it90% 123 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 717 vs 178 / 24055.4%74.2%397 / 717 vs 178 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
GuzikAdamus 1.88/Guzik 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Adamus10
WSep 30 · 04:25M. Cesarz4.378101281P. Adamus1.18111210113WSep 30 · 02:45P. Adamus1.31111411113O. Sokolowski3.25716571LSep 30 · 01:10P. Adamus1.757770P. Kurek1.951111113LSep 30 · 00:00P. Adamus1.52911111162M. Lebek2.30111359113WSep 29 · 22:25P. Adamus1.75111110133M. Adamus1.957912111LSep 29 · 21:10P. Adamus2.751011571M. Tkocz1.4012411113WSep 28 · 05:05P. Adamus2.051111123J. Pruszkowski1.6568100WSep 28 · 03:30P. Adamus1.801311113P. Kurek1.9011670WSep 28 · 02:20P. Adamus1.571111113W. Urban2.256690WSep 28 · 00:45P. Adamus1.6511118113O. Vincenec2.05591181
M. Guzik10
LSep 28 · 02:20S. Krupa2.901111113M. Guzik1.367680LSep 28 · 01:35M. Jozefiak—1111113M. Guzik—8770WSep 27 · 23:35R. Ogon5.651121621M. Guzik1.1171118113WSep 27 · 22:50R. Adach6.00851181M. Guzik1.0811118113WSep 27 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011410101M. Guzik1.6551112123LSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 19:35M. Jozefiak—127891M. Guzik—101111113WSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:50A. Ruszkiewicz4.10116119113M. Guzik1.2191191162WSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113
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