TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Krupa vs Michal Guzik 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:19 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117116118––––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 1–0 Michal Guzik Michal Guzik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Krupa beat Guzik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:19What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Guzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1440 vs Guzik 1579
Guzik
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 100% vs Guzik 60%
Krupa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 90% vs Guzik 60%
Krupa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa +8 · Guzik -1
Krupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Guzik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 2.90 / Guzik 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Guzik)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13209212
Krupa2.90
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Guzik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 163 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it98% 95 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it90% 120 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrupa1wins
AwayGuzik0wins
Krupa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrupaGuzikK − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.035.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 611 vs 178 / 23950.7%74.5%310 / 611 vs 178 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikKrupa 2.90/Guzik 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.1%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa3911311143M. Guzik356116121
S. Krupa10
WSep 28 · 00:45R. Ogon4.759660S. Krupa1.141111113WSep 28 · 00:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.259540S. Krupa1.551111113WSep 27 · 23:10S. Krupa—81111113M. Jozefiak—117881WSep 27 · 22:00S. Krupa1.301111133R. Adach3.2538110WSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 18:45R. Ogon2.80119100S. Krupa1.371311123WSep 27 · 18:00R. Adach2.83131071232S. Krupa1.3211121110113WSep 27 · 17:10S. Krupa—17911113M. Jozefiak—1511531LSep 27 · 16:00S. Krupa2.102119121A. Ruszkiewicz1.6011611143WSep 23 · 20:20S. Krupa1.7211911113M. Adamus1.83611891
M. Guzik10
LSep 28 · 01:35M. Jozefiak—1111113M. Guzik—8770WSep 27 · 23:35R. Ogon5.651121621M. Guzik1.1171118113WSep 27 · 22:50R. Adach6.00851181M. Guzik1.0811118113WSep 27 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011410101M. Guzik1.6551112123LSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 19:35M. Jozefiak—127891M. Guzik—101111113WSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:50A. Ruszkiewicz4.10116119113M. Guzik1.2191191162WSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113LSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.