TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sukovatyi vs Andrii Romanenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911611––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:58 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 46–39 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 39 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:5856.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
46-39 in 85
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1720 vs Romanenko 1738
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Romanenko 40%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Romanenko 70%
Romanenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +1 · Romanenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.666 / Romanenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223997
Sukovatyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 179 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it97% 100 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it82% 140 of 170
Romanenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi6wins
AwayRomanenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayRomanenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi6Romanenko4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S3Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi2Romanenko4n = 6Romanenko took 4 of 6
S5Sukovatyi3Romanenko1n = 4Sukovatyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.336.9−0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 551 vs 321 / 60154.1%53.4%298 / 551 vs 321 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.67/Romanenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko187560
LSep 30 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi167630A. Romanenko331111113
WSep 27 · 01:19I. Sukovatyi44411117113A. Romanenko4511591192
LSep 26 · 21:45I. Sukovatyi321061151A. Romanenko4012116113
LSep 24 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi37188741A. Romanenko49161111113
WSep 23 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi44921111113A. Romanenko4311118942
WSep 23 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi361111143A. Romanenko2594120
WSep 19 · 23:15I. Sukovatyi351311113A. Romanenko2611690
LSep 17 · 08:35I. Sukovatyi4011461182A. Romanenko48711118113
WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi46115118113A. Romanenko4271171162
I. Sukovatyi10
WOct 1 · 08:05O. Rodin2.75111050I. Sukovatyi1.401312113LOct 1 · 06:05I. Hrekh2.101411113I. Sukovatyi1.6712730WOct 1 · 05:05V. Slozka2.6381121182I. Sukovatyi1.44118119113LSep 30 · 19:05O. Pohonov1.301111113I. Sukovatyi3.406680WSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.107560LSep 30 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi1.8011811113I. Sukovatyi1.91611461LSep 30 · 13:35I. Hrekh2.20111110113I. Sukovatyi1.61961221WSep 30 · 12:35V. Slozka2.5051130I. Sukovatyi1.501113113LSep 30 · 02:30A. Romanenko2.101111113I. Sukovatyi1.677630LSep 30 · 01:30O. Pohonov1.30111189113I. Sukovatyi3.4047111182
A. Romanenko10
WOct 1 · 08:35V. Slozka2.25911118122A. Romanenko1.57119911143LOct 1 · 06:35O. Pohonov1.5011118113A. Romanenko2.50981141LOct 1 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.911111123A. Romanenko1.8057100WSep 30 · 18:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501271011102A. Romanenko2.501011127123LSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.107560WSep 30 · 16:05V. Slozka2.2511951172A. Romanenko1.57411119113WSep 30 · 14:05O. Pohonov1.50910131182A. Romanenko2.501112118113WSep 30 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.835111051A. Romanenko1.8311912113WSep 30 · 02:30A. Romanenko2.101111113I. Sukovatyi1.677630WSep 30 · 00:30R. Konkulovskyi2.38491111102A. Romanenko1.53111188123
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