TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Pohonov vs Andrii Romanenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118811114––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:34 and never touched: 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Pohonov above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 63.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Pohonov 49–24 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 24 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:3463.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
49-24 in 73
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 25 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohonov 1757 vs Romanenko 1728
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohonov 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohonov 60% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohonov -1 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Pohonov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohonov 1.50 / Romanenko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pohonov)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224031
Pohonov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 137 of 175
Romanenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohonov7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohonov100%7 of 7
AwayRomanenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohonov7Romanenko3n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S2Pohonov4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S3Pohonov6Romanenko4n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Pohonov6Romanenko1n = 7Pohonov took 6 of 7
S5Pohonov2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohonovRomanenkoP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.738.2+4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohonovRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 569 vs 320 / 60051.9%53.3%295 / 569 vs 320 / 600Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovPohonov 1.50/Romanenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 06:35O. Pohonov4111118113A. Romanenko32981141
LSep 30 · 14:05O. Pohonov51910131182A. Romanenko531112118113
WSep 29 · 23:30O. Pohonov46124811113A. Romanenko45101111942
WSep 26 · 23:15O. Pohonov331111113A. Romanenko198560
WSep 24 · 10:05O. Pohonov4111811113A. Romanenko32911481
LSep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov269980A. Romanenko331111113
WSep 22 · 23:30O. Pohonov331111113A. Romanenko219930
WSep 19 · 21:45O. Pohonov45111011133A. Romanenko397129111
LSep 17 · 05:05O. Pohonov58151511892A. Romanenko591713711113
WSep 16 · 17:35O. Pohonov531110911123A. Romanenko49812118102
O. Pohonov10
LOct 1 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8081111113O. Pohonov1.91113781LOct 1 · 05:35O. Rodin1.91111210113O. Pohonov1.809101251WSep 30 · 19:05O. Pohonov1.301111113I. Sukovatyi3.406680LSep 30 · 17:05V. Slozka2.1011115143O. Pohonov1.676711121WSep 30 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.80101171182O. Pohonov1.91125113113LSep 30 · 14:05O. Pohonov1.50910131182A. Romanenko2.501112118113LSep 30 · 13:05B. Chaikovskyi1.50111189113O. Pohonov2.5078111162WSep 30 · 03:00O. Rodin1.802138121O. Pohonov1.91111111143WSep 30 · 01:30O. Pohonov1.30111189113I. Sukovatyi3.4047111182WSep 29 · 23:30A. Romanenko2.63101111942O. Pohonov1.44124811113
A. Romanenko10
LOct 1 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.911111123A. Romanenko1.8057100WSep 30 · 18:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501271011102A. Romanenko2.501011127123LSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.107560WSep 30 · 16:05V. Slozka2.2511951172A. Romanenko1.57411119113WSep 30 · 14:05O. Pohonov1.50910131182A. Romanenko2.501112118113WSep 30 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.835111051A. Romanenko1.8311912113WSep 30 · 02:30A. Romanenko2.101111113I. Sukovatyi1.677630WSep 30 · 00:30R. Konkulovskyi2.38491111102A. Romanenko1.53111188123LSep 29 · 23:30A. Romanenko2.63101111942O. Pohonov1.44124811113LSep 29 · 22:30B. Chaikovskyi1.50871111113A. Romanenko2.5011112692
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.