TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Maslovskyi vs Oleh Maksymkiv 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched: 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 80.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 6–57 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 6 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2080.1%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 1.7pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Maksymkiv
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-57 in 63
Maksymkiv
Correct
gap of 51 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1191 vs Maksymkiv 1230
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 100% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 70% vs Maksymkiv 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +6 · Maksymkiv +2
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% · Strong (leans Maksymkiv) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 4.00 / Maksymkiv 1.222
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Maksymkiv)-1.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223666
Maslovskyi4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 67 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 90
Maksymkiv1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it92% 58 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi0wins
AwayMaksymkiv10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi0%0 of 3
AwayMaksymkiv100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi2Maksymkiv8n = 10Maksymkiv took 8 of 10
S3Maslovskyi4Maksymkiv6n = 10Maksymkiv took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi3Maksymkiv5n = 8Maksymkiv took 5 of 8
S5Maslovskyi0Maksymkiv4n = 4Maksymkiv took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiMaksymkivMaslovskyi − MaksymkivBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.844.6−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 874 vs 398 / 76449.9%52.1%436 / 874 vs 398 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivMaslovskyi 4.00/Maksymkiv 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.1%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi3049170O. Maksymkiv411111193
LSep 25 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi411371381O. Maksymkiv48151111113
LSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4178121132O. Maksymkiv521111109113
LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4491111672O. Maksymkiv45116611113
LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi39149881O. Maksymkiv45121111113
LAug 30 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi34119140O. Maksymkiv401311163
LAug 28 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi4291141172O. Maksymkiv45117115113
LAug 27 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi4515761162O. Maksymkiv521311116113
LAug 17 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi30951151O. Maksymkiv3711114113
LAug 14 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi32117861O. Maksymkiv4181111113
O. Maslovskyi10
WOct 1 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk1.4491111692O. Maslovskyi2.63118511113WOct 1 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.506990O. Maslovskyi1.501111113WOct 1 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.75111311113M. Dunas1.40615681WOct 1 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.0071111382O. Maslovskyi1.36115611113WSep 30 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi2.631111123H. Oliynyk1.4474100WSep 30 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.361211123A. Nikolenko3.00108100LSep 30 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi4.0049170O. Maksymkiv1.221111193LSep 30 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.386450M. Dunas1.531111113WSep 30 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.5391511113M. Treschetka2.381113561LSep 28 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.3811611632M. Dunas1.53711811113
O. Maksymkiv10
WOct 1 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.61651111113M. Dunas2.2011116382WOct 1 · 07:55A. Nikolenko3.25710111192O. Maksymkiv1.33111256113LOct 1 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.4491111113O. Maksymkiv2.63115781WOct 1 · 04:55V. Salivonchyk1.91991191O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv1.3310890M. Dunas3.251211113WSep 30 · 16:55H. Oliynyk1.40101130O. Maksymkiv2.751213113WSep 30 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi4.0049170O. Maksymkiv1.221111193LSep 30 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv2.63611371M. Treschetka1.4411611113WSep 30 · 12:55A. Nikolenko3.003590O. Maksymkiv1.361111113LSep 25 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.8371111113O. Maksymkiv1.83119581
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