TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Dawid Michna 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101146115111214
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Dawid Michna below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 96 set 5, 12-14 · our read held Dawid Michna at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 23–27 Dawid Michna Krzysztof Wloczko has won 23 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Michna
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-27 in 50
Michna
Correct
gap of 4 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1754 vs Michna 1902
Michna
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 20% vs Michna 60%
Michna
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 30% vs Michna 60%
Michna
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +1 · Michna -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Michna) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.833 / Michna 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Michna)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13222228
Wloczko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Michna1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko3wins
AwayMichna7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko75%3 of 4
AwayMichna100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko4Michna6n = 10Michna took 6 of 10
S2Wloczko8Michna2n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S3Wloczko4Michna6n = 10Michna took 6 of 10
S4Wloczko0Michna6n = 6Michna took 6 of 6
S5Wloczko1Michna3n = 4Michna took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoMichnaW − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.0−3.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoMichnaBasisWin rate · lifetime928 / 1779 vs 503 / 92252.2%54.6%928 / 1779 vs 503 / 922Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaWloczko 1.83/Michna 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Michna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 06:30K. Wloczko46121165122D. Michna501041111143
LSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko215970D. Michna331111113
LSep 10 · 03:20K. Wloczko26512631D. Michna43111011113
WSep 9 · 04:30K. Wloczko531111119113D. Michna4696131172
WSep 3 · 07:20K. Wloczko331111113D. Michna237970
LJun 18 · 10:25K. Wloczko3951111572D. Michna48119611113
LApr 24 · 15:10K. Wloczko279990D. Michna331111113
LMar 9 · 05:15K. Wloczko331211551D. Michna4114511113
WMar 6 · 06:15K. Wloczko341112113D. Michna2491050
LMar 5 · 07:35K. Wloczko4191111552D. Michna49118811113
K. Wloczko10
WOct 1 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.83111112153J. Kuzmicz1.838914131LOct 1 · 04:10L. Jarocki1.831111143K. Wloczko1.8378120LOct 1 · 03:25K. Wloczko2.50125951A. Grela1.50101111113LSep 30 · 07:45K. Wloczko2.507690M. Jadczyk1.501111113LSep 30 · 06:30K. Wloczko2.501151071A. Grela1.5061112113LSep 30 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.8397130M. Miastowski1.831111153WSep 30 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.5077100K. Wloczko2.501111123LSep 30 · 03:25K. Wloczko3.40911991P. David1.3011811113LSep 29 · 08:05G. Poliniewicz1.57111493113K. Wloczko2.27912111182WSep 29 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.8011148452K. Wloczko1.855121111113
D. Michna10
LOct 1 · 05:40L. Jarocki2.38911115113D. Michna1.5311841182WOct 1 · 04:55D. Michna1.91111117113A. Grela1.8079111192WOct 1 · 03:45D. Michna1.83915115113M. Jadczyk1.83111381182LSep 22 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.571111113D. Michna2.259860WSep 22 · 13:20D. Michna1.6711119113J. Braun2.10781171LSep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.831011119113D. Michna1.8312981192WSep 22 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.1071210151D. Michna1.67111012173LSep 22 · 09:20G. Felkel2.00118911113D. Michna1.7381111792WSep 22 · 07:45J. Braun1.7366100D. Michna2.001111123WSep 22 · 06:55M. Murawski1.6771011101D. Michna2.1011129123
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
D. Michna
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.