TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Artur Grela 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1165111012711––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Artur Grela at 66.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 14–23 Artur Grela Krzysztof Wloczko has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2866.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 0.6pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-23 in 37
Grela
Correct
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1780 vs Grela 1974
Grela
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -1 · Grela +4
Grela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Grela) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 2.50 / Grela 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Grela)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13216108
Wloczko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 146 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back17% 36 of 208
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 122
Grela1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 169 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 116 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko1wins
AwayGrela9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko33.3%1 of 3
AwayGrela100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko3Grela7n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S2Wloczko3Grela7n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S4Wloczko1Grela8n = 9Grela took 8 of 9
S5Wloczko1Grela2n = 3Grela took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoGrelaW − GBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.941.7−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime933 / 1784 vs 632 / 122552.3%51.6%933 / 1784 vs 632 / 1225Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaWloczko 2.50/Grela 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 06:30K. Wloczko331151071A. Grela4061112113
LSep 17 · 09:40K. Wloczko25411461A. Grela3711411113
WSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko45113119113A. Grela4471181172
LSep 10 · 04:00K. Wloczko37159941A. Grela46131111113
LSep 9 · 08:05K. Wloczko2687110A. Grela351111133
LAug 21 · 11:15K. Wloczko538121111112A. Grela511110134133
LAug 21 · 04:10K. Wloczko27771121A. Grela3711114113
LAug 6 · 06:55K. Wloczko3710101161A. Grela3912124113
LJul 31 · 07:20K. Wloczko52811111392A. Grela48113815113
LJun 16 · 07:20K. Wloczko34871181A. Grela4011117113
K. Wloczko10
LSep 30 · 05:15K. Wloczko1.8397130M. Miastowski1.831111153WSep 30 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.5077100K. Wloczko2.501111123LSep 30 · 03:25K. Wloczko3.40911991P. David1.3011811113LSep 29 · 08:05G. Poliniewicz1.57111493113K. Wloczko2.27912111182WSep 29 · 07:15M. Sklensky1.8011148452K. Wloczko1.855121111113WSep 29 · 05:15K. Wisniewski3.25911981K. Wloczko1.2711811113LSep 29 · 04:25M. Kolek2.7011119113K. Wloczko1.40681141LSep 29 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.6511711113K. Wloczko2.05811881WSep 28 · 14:15K. Kolodziej1.809790K. Wloczko1.901111113WSep 28 · 13:25D. Kostal3.60311231K. Wloczko1.2211311113
A. Grela10
WSep 30 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.731383131A. Grela2.00111111153WSep 30 · 04:55A. Grela2.1012615113P. David1.6710111391WSep 30 · 03:45A. Grela1.73111211113M. Jadczyk2.00814981WSep 24 · 13:45A. Daniel2.38251111122A. Grela1.53111177143LSep 24 · 12:55P. David1.61101111123A. Grela2.201239101WSep 24 · 12:05A. Grela1.4411118113K. Kolodziej2.63991151WSep 24 · 10:25A. Grela1.611111113J. Zandecki2.209650WSep 24 · 09:40S. Kolasa2.00781381A. Grela1.73111111113WSep 24 · 08:30S. Kolasa2.0031111762A. Grela1.73117811113LSep 24 · 07:20A. Grela1.679990J. Zandecki2.101111113
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