Lukasz Pietraszko vs Jakub Nadolny 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 29Finished

Lukasz Pietraszko

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11711139111311115

Jakub Nadolny

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–3Last 9Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Nadolny to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Jakub Nadolny below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 102 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Jakub Nadolny at 54.0%

102 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:51

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Nadolny

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Pietraszko 1673 vs Nadolny 1635

Pietraszko

Correct

both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pietraszko 80% vs Nadolny 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pietraszko 60% vs Nadolny 67%

—

Too close

7pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Pietraszko -1 · Nadolny +3

Nadolny

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Nadolny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nadolny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPietraszko 2.00 / Nadolny 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Nadolny)+0.3pp

TT Elite Series · #13214495

Pietraszko2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 28)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 95 of 268

Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 154

Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95

Nadolny1.73

67%won 6 of 9 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

67%takes the first set · 6 of 9

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPietraszkoNadolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 882 vs 6 / 950.7%66.7%447 / 882 vs 6 / 9Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.943.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Nadolny

Pietraszko 2.00/Nadolny 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Nadolny · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Pietraszko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

L. Pietraszko10