TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Filip Mlynarski vs Lukasz Pietraszko 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411118811118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 60.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 22–11 Lukasz Pietraszko Lukasz Pietraszko has won 11 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-11 in 33
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 11 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1748 vs Pietraszko 1669
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 100% vs Pietraszko 60%
Mlynarski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 80% vs Pietraszko 50%
Mlynarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +5 · Pietraszko -1
Mlynarski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.57 / Pietraszko 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Mlynarski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13201102
Mlynarski1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite65% won 149 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 106 of 131
Pietraszko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 91 of 262
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski8wins
AwayPietraszko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski88.9%8 of 9
AwayPietraszkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski9Pietraszko1n = 10Mlynarski took 9 of 10
S2Mlynarski4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Mlynarski6Pietraszko4n = 10Mlynarski took 6 of 10
S4Mlynarski6Pietraszko2n = 8Mlynarski took 6 of 8
S5Mlynarski2Pietraszko1n = 3Mlynarski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiPietraszkoM − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.435.7+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 324 vs 443 / 87657.7%50.6%187 / 324 vs 443 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.57/Pietraszko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 22:10F. Mlynarski331111113L. Pietraszko206770
WSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski331111113L. Pietraszko187470
LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski321156101L. Pietraszko4171111123
LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski4891311962L. Pietraszko491111511113
WAug 22 · 22:10F. Mlynarski4411912123L. Pietraszko4091110101
WAug 22 · 17:40F. Mlynarski4111811113L. Pietraszko34811961
WAug 16 · 21:00F. Mlynarski511110811113L. Pietraszko4591211492
WAug 16 · 15:00F. Mlynarski4111118113L. Pietraszko33671191
WAug 2 · 21:45F. Mlynarski4514911113L. Pietraszko391211881
WAug 2 · 16:55F. Mlynarski46118511113L. Pietraszko3861111462
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 27 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.571111123M. Kolek2.2599100WSep 27 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.40118912113J. Zochniak2.75311111092WSep 27 · 15:00F. Mlynarski1.6111117113M. Olbrycht2.20481141WSep 27 · 00:35J. Kuzmicz1.4451171182F. Mlynarski2.63117117113WSep 26 · 22:55M. Kolek2.2511580F. Mlynarski1.571311113LSep 26 · 22:10D. Kostal2.3811124113F. Mlynarski1.539101151LSep 26 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.009111011113F. Mlynarski1.7311612992WSep 26 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.5011118113M. Kolek2.50671191WSep 26 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5386110F. Mlynarski2.381111133WSep 26 · 17:40D. Kostal2.38109111142F. Mlynarski1.53121136113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 27 · 18:05L. Pietraszko3.5091111762J. Kuzmicz1.28116711113WSep 27 · 16:30L. Pietraszko2.2511126113M. Olbrycht1.575101131WSep 27 · 15:45M. Kolek1.91129551L. Pietraszko1.80101111113LSep 22 · 23:20J. Mitas1.80131211113L. Pietraszko1.911510681WSep 22 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5312870L. Pietraszko2.381411113LSep 22 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.00411431J. Chmielowski1.7311911113WSep 22 · 21:00K. Rudomina2.1011111071L. Pietraszko1.6713412113LSep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.91871161J. Mitas1.8011117113WSep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.57111199143P. Blocho2.25551111122LSep 22 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.00114731J. Chmielowski1.7391111113
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