TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Filip Mlynarski vs Michal Olbrycht 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118711114––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Michal Olbrycht below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 57.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 7–5 Michal Olbrycht Michal Olbrycht has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1739 vs Olbrycht 1694
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 60% vs Olbrycht 80%
Olbrycht
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 70% vs Olbrycht 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +2 · Olbrycht -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.61 / Olbrycht 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Mlynarski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13201005
Mlynarski1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 149 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 106 of 131
Olbrycht2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 81 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski5wins
AwayOlbrycht5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski57.1%4 of 7
AwayOlbrycht66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski7Olbrycht3n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S2Mlynarski4Olbrycht6n = 10Olbrycht took 6 of 10
S3Mlynarski5Olbrycht5n = 10split evenly
S4Mlynarski3Olbrycht2n = 5Mlynarski took 3 of 5
S5Mlynarski1Olbrycht2n = 3Olbrycht took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiOlbrychtM − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.9+1.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 321 vs 378 / 79657.3%47.5%184 / 321 vs 378 / 796Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.61/Olbrycht 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 21:25F. Mlynarski4711612992M. Olbrycht529111011113
WSep 26 · 16:55F. Mlynarski46841111123M. Olbrycht48111179102
WAug 8 · 21:25F. Mlynarski4211119113M. Olbrycht31771161
LAug 8 · 16:55F. Mlynarski47119101162M. Olbrycht41411123113
WJul 19 · 00:20F. Mlynarski351111133M. Olbrycht2999110
WJul 18 · 22:05F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht205960
WJul 18 · 16:55F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht239680
LFeb 24 · 11:20F. Mlynarski2891360M. Olbrycht371115113
LFeb 24 · 06:45F. Mlynarski31119651M. Olbrycht3521111113
LFeb 17 · 13:45F. Mlynarski228860M. Olbrycht331111113
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 27 · 00:35J. Kuzmicz1.4451171182F. Mlynarski2.63117117113WSep 26 · 22:55M. Kolek2.2511580F. Mlynarski1.571311113LSep 26 · 22:10D. Kostal2.3811124113F. Mlynarski1.539101151LSep 26 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.009111011113F. Mlynarski1.7311612992WSep 26 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.5011118113M. Kolek2.50671191WSep 26 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5386110F. Mlynarski2.381111133WSep 26 · 17:40D. Kostal2.38109111142F. Mlynarski1.53121136113WSep 26 · 16:55F. Mlynarski1.73841111123M. Olbrycht2.00111179102WSep 26 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.4481111133A. Wos2.631165111LSep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam1.8011511113F. Mlynarski1.91811781
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 27 · 00:10M. Olbrycht1.6141090M. Kolek2.201112113WSep 26 · 23:20M. Olbrycht1.831111113D. Kostal1.838870WSep 26 · 21:50M. Olbrycht3.501111113J. Kuzmicz1.288960WSep 26 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.009111011113F. Mlynarski1.7311612992WSep 26 · 20:30D. Kostal1.831411891M. Olbrycht1.8316811113WSep 26 · 19:15M. Olbrycht1.5313911113M. Kolek2.381111671LSep 26 · 18:05A. Wos2.63611511113M. Olbrycht1.4411911492LSep 26 · 16:55F. Mlynarski1.73841111123M. Olbrycht2.00111179102LSep 26 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.3311911113M. Olbrycht3.25711951WSep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.8088110M. Olbrycht1.851111133
Upcoming Matches
F. Mlynarski
Sep 27 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.57M. Kolek2.25—Sep 27 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.57L. Pietraszko2.25—Sep 27 · 20:30F. Mlynarski2.50J. Kuzmicz1.50—Sep 27 · 21:00F. Mlynarski1.61M. Olbrycht2.20—Sep 27 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.57L. Pietraszko2.25—Sep 27 · 22:35F. Mlynarski1.57M. Kolek2.25—Sep 27 · 23:20F. Mlynarski2.50J. Kuzmicz1.50—
M. Olbrycht
Sep 27 · 16:30M. Olbrycht1.57L. Pietraszko2.25—Sep 27 · 17:20M. Olbrycht1.53J. Zochniak2.38—Sep 27 · 19:15M. Olbrycht3.40J. Kuzmicz1.30—Sep 27 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 27 · 21:00M. Olbrycht2.20F. Mlynarski1.61—Sep 27 · 22:55M. Olbrycht1.57L. Pietraszko2.25—Sep 27 · 23:45M. Olbrycht1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 28 · 00:10M. Olbrycht3.40J. Kuzmicz1.30—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.