TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Filip Mlynarski vs Michal Olbrycht 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8114111171191210
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Michal Olbrycht below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 54.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 6–4 Michal Olbrycht Michal Olbrycht has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1706 vs Olbrycht 1668
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 60% vs Olbrycht 40%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 70% vs Olbrycht 40%
Mlynarski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +1 · Olbrycht -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mlynarski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.73 / Olbrycht 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Mlynarski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13200765
Mlynarski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 144 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 127
Olbrycht2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 79 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 23 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski6wins
AwayOlbrycht4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski75%6 of 8
AwayOlbrychtn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski8Olbrycht2n = 10Mlynarski took 8 of 10
S2Mlynarski6Olbrycht4n = 10Mlynarski took 6 of 10
S3Mlynarski5Olbrycht5n = 10split evenly
S4Mlynarski2Olbrycht1n = 3Mlynarski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiOlbrychtM − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match33.728.0+5.7per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 313 vs 373 / 78856.9%47.3%178 / 313 vs 373 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.73/Olbrycht 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 21:25F. Mlynarski4211119113M. Olbrycht31771161
LAug 8 · 16:55F. Mlynarski47119101162M. Olbrycht41411123113
WJul 19 · 00:20F. Mlynarski351111133M. Olbrycht2999110
WJul 18 · 22:05F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht205960
WJul 18 · 16:55F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht239680
LFeb 24 · 11:20F. Mlynarski2891360M. Olbrycht371115113
LFeb 24 · 06:45F. Mlynarski31119651M. Olbrycht3521111113
LFeb 17 · 13:45F. Mlynarski228860M. Olbrycht331111113
WFeb 3 · 10:05F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht166280
WFeb 3 · 07:35F. Mlynarski331111113M. Olbrycht155640
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 26 · 17:40D. Kostal2.38109111142F. Mlynarski1.53121136113WSep 26 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.4481111133A. Wos2.631165111LSep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam1.8011511113F. Mlynarski1.91811781LSep 13 · 22:35A. Wos2.75711126113F. Mlynarski1.40118101142WSep 13 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.671111113L. Pietraszko2.106770WSep 13 · 21:00M. Rutkowski2.388740F. Mlynarski1.531111113WSep 13 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8391111113D. Jadam1.83115881LSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113WSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470WSep 13 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4451111113M. Kolek2.63118411
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 26 · 18:05A. Wos2.63611511113M. Olbrycht1.4411911492LSep 26 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.3311911113M. Olbrycht3.25711951WSep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.8088110M. Olbrycht1.851111133LSep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski1.6311911113M. Olbrycht2.05211971WSep 17 · 12:10M. Olbrycht1.98137117113G. Poliniewicz1.68111191162LSep 17 · 10:30M. Olbrycht1.99136561P. Jendrzejewski1.68111111113LSep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo2.25811128113M. Olbrycht1.57119101182WSep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83911891M. Olbrycht1.8711811113LSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99671171P. Jendrzejewski1.6811118113WSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Mlynarski
Sep 26 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 26 · 21:25F. Mlynarski1.73M. Olbrycht2.00—Sep 26 · 22:10F. Mlynarski—D. Kostal——Sep 26 · 22:55F. Mlynarski—M. Kolek——Sep 27 · 00:35F. Mlynarski2.38J. Kuzmicz1.53—Sep 27 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—M. Olbrycht——Sep 27 · 16:05F. Mlynarski—J. Zochniak——Sep 27 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—M. Kolek——Sep 27 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 27 · 20:30F. Mlynarski—J. Kuzmicz——
M. Olbrycht
Sep 26 · 19:15M. Olbrycht1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 26 · 20:30M. Olbrycht1.83D. Kostal1.83—Sep 26 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.00F. Mlynarski1.73—Sep 26 · 21:50M. Olbrycht3.50J. Kuzmicz1.28—Sep 26 · 23:20M. Olbrycht1.83D. Kostal1.83—Sep 27 · 00:10M. Olbrycht1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 27 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—F. Mlynarski——Sep 27 · 16:30M. Olbrycht—L. Pietraszko——Sep 27 · 17:20M. Olbrycht—J. Zochniak——Sep 27 · 19:15M. Olbrycht—J. Kuzmicz——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.