TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Zochniak vs Lukasz Pietraszko 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1618119811119611
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Zochniak above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 110 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 56.9%
110 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Zochniak 18–24 Lukasz Pietraszko Jakub Zochniak has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-24 in 42
Pietraszko
Correct
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1542 vs Pietraszko 1661
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 0% vs Pietraszko 40%
Pietraszko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 30% vs Pietraszko 50%
Pietraszko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak -5 · Pietraszko -2
Zochniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.00 / Pietraszko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Pietraszko)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13206385
Zochniak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 136 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back14% 31 of 228
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 119
Pietraszko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 123 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it98% 54 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it84% 86 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak2wins
AwayPietraszko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak25%1 of 4
AwayPietraszko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S2Zochniak6Pietraszko4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S3Zochniak2Pietraszko8n = 10Pietraszko took 8 of 10
S4Zochniak1Pietraszko5n = 6Pietraszko took 5 of 6
S5Zochniak1Pietraszko3n = 4Pietraszko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakPietraszkoZ − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.9−5.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1148 / 2192 vs 443 / 87752.4%50.5%1148 / 2192 vs 443 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoZochniak 2.00/Pietraszko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:45J. Zochniak4211119562L. Pietraszko48961111113
LAug 25 · 04:25J. Zochniak35127881L. Pietraszko43101111113
LAug 24 · 08:05J. Zochniak47141251062L. Pietraszko5612101112113
LJul 29 · 17:20J. Zochniak186390L. Pietraszko331111113
WJul 20 · 18:05J. Zochniak361114113L. Pietraszko2541290
LJun 9 · 01:25J. Zochniak237970L. Pietraszko331111113
LJun 8 · 22:55J. Zochniak33711781L. Pietraszko4011711113
LJun 2 · 01:00J. Zochniak2991190L. Pietraszko351113113
WJun 1 · 22:35J. Zochniak491011611113L. Pietraszko4412911662
LJun 1 · 20:30J. Zochniak4671211972L. Pietraszko521110911113
J. Zochniak10
LSep 27 · 18:30J. Zochniak2.50811951M. Kolek1.5011411113LSep 27 · 17:20J. Zochniak2.38129111222M. Olbrycht1.531411710113LSep 27 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.40118912113J. Zochniak2.75311111092LSep 27 · 15:25J. Zochniak3.005101361J. Kuzmicz1.36111211113LSep 26 · 07:40J. Zochniak2.206650D. Kosmal1.601111113WSep 26 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.32811114123J. Wozniak2.95118911102WSep 26 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.371112113T. Piotrowski2.8061090LSep 26 · 04:00I. Dabrowski2.2511611113J. Zochniak1.58811931WSep 26 · 03:20J. Zochniak1.651111113B. Mleczko2.107550LSep 25 · 13:55M. Minda2.201111113J. Zochniak1.578780
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 27 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.57114118113L. Pietraszko2.2581181182LSep 27 · 18:05L. Pietraszko3.5091111762J. Kuzmicz1.28116711113WSep 27 · 16:30L. Pietraszko2.2511126113M. Olbrycht1.575101131WSep 27 · 15:45M. Kolek1.91129551L. Pietraszko1.80101111113LSep 22 · 23:20J. Mitas1.80131211113L. Pietraszko1.911510681WSep 22 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5312870L. Pietraszko2.381411113LSep 22 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.00411431J. Chmielowski1.7311911113WSep 22 · 21:00K. Rudomina2.1011111071L. Pietraszko1.6713412113LSep 22 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.91871161J. Mitas1.8011117113WSep 22 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.57111199143P. Blocho2.25551111122
Upcoming Matches
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L. Pietraszko
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