TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Minda vs Jakub Zochniak 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118117118––––
H2H Michal Minda 64–83 Jakub Zochniak Michal Minda has won 64 of their 147 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Zochniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-83 in 147
Zochniak
Wrong
gap of 19 in 147, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1426 vs Zochniak 1592
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 40% vs Zochniak 80%
Zochniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 40% vs Zochniak 70%
Zochniak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +1 · Zochniak +4
Zochniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 2.20 / Zochniak 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zochniak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13189744
Minda2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back24% 50 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 97
Zochniak1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 310 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it94% 143 of 152
Up 1–0, closes it78% 229 of 294
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda4wins
AwayZochniak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda60%3 of 5
AwayZochniak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S2Minda2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S3Minda4Zochniak6n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Minda4Zochniak5n = 9Zochniak took 5 of 9
S5Minda4Zochniak2n = 6Minda took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaZochniakM − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.348.1−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime1014 / 1975 vs 1154 / 219751.3%52.5%1014 / 1975 vs 1154 / 2197Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakMinda 2.20/Zochniak 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 16:30M. Minda4071241252J. Zochniak5311101110113
LSep 23 · 14:20M. Minda4410126161J. Zochniak51121011183
WSep 18 · 13:30M. Minda561111119143J. Zochniak49513811122
WSep 17 · 14:20M. Minda52138911113J. Zochniak51111111992
LSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda2376100J. Zochniak341111123
LSep 7 · 06:25M. Minda37881381J. Zochniak44111111113
WSep 4 · 06:50M. Minda551391012113J. Zochniak531111121092
WSep 3 · 03:40M. Minda521081211113J. Zochniak49121110882
LSep 2 · 03:20M. Minda4611613792J. Zochniak539111111113
LSep 1 · 08:05M. Minda3811116101J. Zochniak4481311123
M. Minda10
WSep 25 · 12:40M. Minda2.2011611153B. Sulkowski1.579118131LSep 25 · 11:25M. Minda3.455580K. Wisniewski1.261111113WSep 25 · 10:10M. Zagajewski2.3771141162M. Minda1.52118119113LSep 25 · 09:25M. Minda3.3081261152T. Filbrandt1.291110115113LSep 24 · 20:05D. Solilo1.7311111111113M. Minda2.0071381392LSep 24 · 19:15B. Sulkowski1.7311611113M. Minda2.00411461WSep 24 · 17:20K. Klocek2.75114101132M. Minda1.40911124113LSep 24 · 16:30J. Zochniak1.9111101110113M. Minda1.8071241252LSep 24 · 15:00K. Rudomina2.201115113M. Minda1.6161390WSep 23 · 20:05M. Minda1.8011148113B. Sulkowski1.919121181
J. Zochniak10
WSep 25 · 13:05M. Zagajewski3.4578140J. Zochniak1.251111163WSep 25 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.3061111113T. Filbrandt1.55118891WSep 25 · 10:35J. Zochniak2.70111113113K. Wisniewski1.41891571WSep 25 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.15881131J. Zochniak1.6111116113WSep 24 · 19:40K. Klocek2.6391191272J. Zochniak1.441181110113LSep 24 · 18:50K. Rudomina2.00113811113J. Zochniak1.7331111872WSep 24 · 18:05J. Zochniak1.73911116113B. Sulkowski2.0011951182WSep 24 · 16:30J. Zochniak1.9111101110113M. Minda1.8071241252WSep 24 · 15:45D. Solilo1.80811651J. Zochniak1.9111711113LSep 24 · 13:50J. Zochniak2.4581141122M. Rutkowski1.47117115113
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