TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Klocek vs Michal Minda 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Kamil Klocek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1194111012114311
Michal Minda
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Klocek above · Michal Minda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Michal Minda at 66.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Klocek 0–9 Michal Minda Kamil Klocek has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Minda
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klocek 1420 vs Minda 1420
Klocek
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klocek 40% vs Minda 20%
Klocek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klocek 20% vs Minda 40%
Minda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klocek +2 · Minda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlocek 2.75 / Minda 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Minda)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13184448
Klocek2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 103 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 80
Minda1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 271 of 429
Up 2–0, closes it96% 111 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it81% 205 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKlocek0wins
AwayMinda9wins
1 of 9 to a deciderMinda leads 9–0, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlocekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMinda100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klocek2Minda7n = 9Minda took 7 of 9
S2Klocek1Minda8n = 9Minda took 8 of 9
S3Klocek2Minda7n = 9Minda took 7 of 9
S4Klocek1Minda4n = 5Minda took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricKlocekMindaK − MBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match28.139.4−11.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlocekMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 896 vs 1014 / 197652.5%51.3%470 / 896 vs 1014 / 1976Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaKlocek 2.75/Minda 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 15:45K. Klocek3666111122M. Minda43111146113
LSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek46101113121M. Minda4912815143
LSep 5 · 05:35K. Klocek361271341M. Minda47141111113
LAug 26 · 09:50K. Klocek33117781M. Minda4071111113
LAug 4 · 06:55K. Klocek213990M. Minda331111113
LJul 30 · 03:40K. Klocek196670M. Minda331111113
LJul 29 · 08:05K. Klocek26610100M. Minda351112123
LJul 22 · 07:40K. Klocek21112441M. Minda4071111113
LJul 22 · 05:15K. Klocek1521120M. Minda351113113
K. Klocek10
LSep 24 · 18:30K. Klocek3.0011119862D. Solilo1.36691111113WSep 24 · 16:05K. Rudomina1.8391160K. Klocek1.831113113WSep 24 · 15:25K. Klocek2.6361111143B. Sulkowski1.441168121LSep 24 · 24:35K. Kapik1.5711112113K. Klocek2.25561171LSep 23 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.67119711113K. Klocek2.1091111922LSep 23 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.331111123K. Klocek3.2569100LSep 23 · 21:25D. Solilo1.3611116113K. Klocek3.00541181LSep 23 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3011911113K. Klocek3.40511551LSep 23 · 18:50D. Solilo1.441114123K. Klocek2.63912100LSep 23 · 18:05K. Klocek2.75119781K. Staszczyk1.4091111113
M. Minda10
LSep 24 · 16:30J. Zochniak1.9111101110113M. Minda1.8071241252LSep 24 · 15:00K. Rudomina2.201115113M. Minda1.6161390WSep 23 · 20:05M. Minda1.8011148113B. Sulkowski1.919121181LSep 23 · 18:30A. Daniel1.201111113M. Minda4.335450LSep 23 · 17:40D. Solilo1.61111111113M. Minda2.20813661LSep 23 · 16:55M. Minda2.63115871K. Staszczyk1.4441111113WSep 23 · 15:45M. Minda1.67111146113K. Klocek2.1066111122LSep 23 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.45121011183M. Minda2.2710126161WSep 23 · 13:30R. Stapor1.822590M. Minda1.881111113WSep 23 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn3.55511971M. Minda1.1811911113
Upcoming Matches
K. Klocek
Sep 24 · 19:40K. Klocek2.63J. Zochniak1.44—Sep 24 · 21:00K. Klocek2.10K. Rudomina1.67—Sep 24 · 22:55K. Klocek3.00D. Solilo1.36—Sep 24 · 23:45K. Klocek3.40K. Staszczyk1.30—Sep 25 · 24:10K. Klocek2.63B. Sulkowski1.44—Sep 25 · 21:55K. Klocek—A. Eliasz——Sep 25 · 22:35K. Klocek—B. Mrugala——Sep 25 · 23:45K. Klocek—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 26 · 24:35K. Klocek—W. Gluszek——
M. Minda
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