TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Lushchyk vs Ivan Fedoryshyn 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111191416211––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched: 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lushchyk above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 83 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 68.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lushchyk 40–125 Ivan Fedoryshyn Andrii Lushchyk has won 40 of their 165 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
40-125 in 165
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 85 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lushchyk 1721 vs Fedoryshyn 1868
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lushchyk 60% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lushchyk 40% vs Fedoryshyn 60%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lushchyk -1 · Fedoryshyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLushchyk 2.63 / Fedoryshyn 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13212947
Lushchyk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 42 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 76
Fedoryshyn1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 187 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it83% 155 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLushchyk4wins
AwayFedoryshyn6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLushchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFedoryshyn75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lushchyk2Fedoryshyn8n = 10Fedoryshyn took 8 of 10
S2Lushchyk4Fedoryshyn6n = 10Fedoryshyn took 6 of 10
S3Lushchyk5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Lushchyk3Fedoryshyn2n = 5Lushchyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLushchykFedoryshynL − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.335.7−3.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLushchykFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 801 vs 546 / 82946.3%65.9%371 / 801 vs 546 / 829Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynLushchyk 2.63/Fedoryshyn 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 12:30A. Lushchyk33771181I. Fedoryshyn4011117113
WSep 17 · 16:30A. Lushchyk48811711113I. Fedoryshyn4711911792
LSep 17 · 13:00A. Lushchyk229850I. Fedoryshyn331111113
LSep 10 · 15:30A. Lushchyk218760I. Fedoryshyn331111113
LSep 8 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1810440I. Fedoryshyn341211113
LSep 4 · 17:30A. Lushchyk165470I. Fedoryshyn331111113
WSep 4 · 12:30A. Lushchyk4011711113I. Fedoryshyn30911191
WSep 3 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4181111113I. Fedoryshyn31117581
WSep 3 · 12:30A. Lushchyk331111113I. Fedoryshyn257990
LSep 1 · 12:30A. Lushchyk51131111792I. Fedoryshyn51156811113
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 29 · 13:30A. Kasyanov1.531111113A. Lushchyk2.383680LSep 27 · 10:30A. Lushchyk1.4484111172S. Aristarkhov2.63111136113WSep 27 · 09:00A. Lushchyk1.2811115113O. Ziakun3.50461171LSep 27 · 07:30A. Lushchyk1.57109150M. Hubenko2.251211173WSep 27 · 06:00A. Lushchyk1.441111113O. Syksa2.636470WSep 27 · 04:30A. Lushchyk1.301111113D. Kuzmenko3.406880LSep 24 · 16:00A. Lushchyk1.7391110111S. Chuhai2.0011912133LSep 24 · 15:00R. Ivanov1.221311119113A. Lushchyk4.00111371162LSep 24 · 14:00M. Baday1.1711118113A. Lushchyk4.50541161LSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 25 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.0011611113M. Baday1.73611881LSep 25 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.57111050S. Chuhai2.251312113WSep 25 · 15:30R. Ivanov1.91811651I. Fedoryshyn1.8011911113LSep 25 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.804820R. Ivanov1.911111113WSep 25 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.638880I. Fedoryshyn1.441111113WSep 25 · 12:30M. Baday1.678690I. Fedoryshyn2.101111113WSep 24 · 17:08I. Fedoryshyn1.911118113M. Baday1.8081630LSep 24 · 15:30M. Baday1.6711613113I. Fedoryshyn2.105111131LSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.