TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Yaroslav Kovshun 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511411115118911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 61.7%
86 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kovshun
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1515 vs Kovshun 1646
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 60% vs Kovshun 80%
Kovshun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 60% vs Kovshun 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko -2 · Kovshun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Kovshun) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.25 / Kovshun 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kovshun)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13212765
Leonenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 53
Kovshun1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it80% 71 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 818 vs 334 / 62651.2%53.4%419 / 818 vs 334 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KovshunLeonenko 2.25/Kovshun 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kovshun · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kovshun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Leonenko10
LSep 29 · 09:00O. Leonenko6.008550Y. Volkov1.111111113LSep 29 · 06:30O. Leonenko2.209770D. Khairov1.611111113LSep 29 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.83781151A. Troyan1.8311119113WSep 24 · 11:05A. Kurtenko1.67811111292O. Leonenko2.10116414113WSep 24 · 10:05O. Leonenko1.83131485113A. Martyniuk1.831112111172WSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171LSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 05:35O. Leonenko2.20811119122S. Solomko1.61115711143WSep 22 · 11:35O. Leonenko1.73126113113A. Kovalenko2.00101151152WSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 29 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.53111498112A. Troyan2.389121111133WSep 29 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.73115110Y. Kovshun2.001311133WSep 29 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.301111113D. Khairov3.406470WSep 26 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.80911231Y. Kovshun1.9111711113WSep 26 · 10:35Y. Kovshun1.53119911113A. Troyan2.3871111872WSep 26 · 08:35D. Khairov3.251341110112Y. Kovshun1.331111312133WSep 26 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.737129121Y. Kovshun2.00111011143LSep 26 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.611111113Y. Kovshun2.208970WSep 25 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7381050Y. Kovshun2.001112113LSep 25 · 09:30Y. Kovshun2.1011911682S. Kyienko1.67711511113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.