TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Andrey Troyan 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811119511––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:23 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Andrey Troyan at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 0–1 Andrey Troyan Oleksandr Leonenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1535 vs Troyan 1709
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 60% vs Troyan 100%
Troyan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Troyan 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko +3 · Troyan +7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Troyan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 1.83 / Troyan 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Troyan)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13212625
Leonenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 24)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Troyan1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLeonenko0wins
AwayTroyan1wins
Troyan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLeonenkoTroyanL − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.038.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 821 vs 480 / 97851.5%49.1%423 / 821 vs 480 / 978Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanLeonenko 1.83/Troyan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 30 · 05:30O. Leonenko28811541A. Troyan3811511113
O. Leonenko10
LSep 29 · 06:30O. Leonenko2.209770D. Khairov1.611111113WSep 24 · 11:05A. Kurtenko1.67811111292O. Leonenko2.10116414113WSep 24 · 10:05O. Leonenko1.83131485113A. Martyniuk1.831112111172WSep 24 · 09:05O. Leonenko2.0011117113E. Populovskyi1.73841171LSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 05:35O. Leonenko2.20811119122S. Solomko1.61115711143WSep 22 · 11:35O. Leonenko1.73126113113A. Kovalenko2.00101151152WSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113WSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113
A. Troyan10
WSep 29 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.613460A. Troyan2.201111113WSep 28 · 11:00Y. Volkov1.673570A. Troyan2.101111113WSep 28 · 10:00A. Martyniuk2.256850A. Troyan1.571111113WSep 28 · 08:30I. Emets1.5356100A. Troyan2.381111123WSep 28 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.401113831A. Troyan1.3051511113WSep 28 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov3.4081050A. Troyan1.301112113WSep 26 · 11:35D. Khairov2.25711141A. Troyan1.5711411113LSep 26 · 10:35Y. Kovshun1.53119911113A. Troyan2.3871111872WSep 26 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.33981581A. Troyan3.25111113113LSep 26 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.1011911113A. Troyan1.67711751
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