TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Martyniuk vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811511––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 62.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 11–20 Andrey Troyan Andrii Martyniuk has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Troyan
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1530 vs Troyan 1689
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 60% vs Troyan 80%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 40% vs Troyan 70%
Troyan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +1 · Troyan +4
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Troyan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.25 / Troyan 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Troyan)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13208263
Martyniuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Troyan1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 181 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 100 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it79% 139 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk50%3 of 6
AwayTroyan100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk6Troyan4n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S2Martyniuk4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S3Martyniuk4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S4Martyniuk1Troyan5n = 6Troyan took 5 of 6
S5Martyniuk1Troyan2n = 3Troyan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukTroyanM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.738.4−5.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 352 vs 478 / 97652%49%183 / 352 vs 478 / 976Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanMartyniuk 2.25/Troyan 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 10:00A. Martyniuk196850A. Troyan331111113
LSep 25 · 08:00A. Martyniuk29641181A. Troyan4211119113
LSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk4411118862A. Troyan47771111113
WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk351111133A. Troyan2669110
LAug 26 · 12:05A. Martyniuk2010730A. Troyan341211113
LAug 17 · 05:00A. Martyniuk31115871A. Troyan4071111113
LAug 11 · 09:30A. Martyniuk321111821A. Troyan4271311113
LJul 22 · 07:35A. Martyniuk3741511342A. Troyan551113911113
WJul 17 · 10:35A. Martyniuk331111113A. Troyan174490
WJun 27 · 12:00A. Martyniuk47115812113A. Troyan48811111082
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 28 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.4091191142A. Martyniuk2.75118114113LSep 28 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov1.61121011113A. Martyniuk2.201012731WSep 28 · 05:00I. Emets2.204730A. Martyniuk1.611111113WSep 25 · 11:00A. Martyniuk2.7511135113O. Karpenko1.404111141LSep 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3611115113A. Martyniuk3.00841181LSep 25 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.20641181A. Troyan1.6111119113WSep 25 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.7391111882A. Martyniuk2.00118511113LSep 25 · 05:30A. Martyniuk2.2011671172S. Kyienko1.61811118113LSep 24 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.807660S. Solomko1.911111113LSep 24 · 10:05O. Leonenko1.83131485113A. Martyniuk1.831112111172
A. Troyan10
WSep 28 · 08:30I. Emets1.5356100A. Troyan2.381111123WSep 28 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.401113831A. Troyan1.3051511113WSep 28 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov3.4081050A. Troyan1.301112113WSep 26 · 11:35D. Khairov2.25711141A. Troyan1.5711411113LSep 26 · 10:35Y. Kovshun1.53119911113A. Troyan2.3871111872WSep 26 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.33981581A. Troyan3.25111113113LSep 26 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.1011911113A. Troyan1.67711751LSep 26 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.61111129113A. Troyan2.20811101162WSep 25 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.105640A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 25 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.20641181A. Troyan1.6111119113
Upcoming Matches
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