TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Volkov vs Andrey Troyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Yurii Volkov @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 48 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 124–104 Andrey Troyan Andrey Troyan has won 104 of their 228 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-104 in 228
Volkov
Wrong
gap of 20 in 228, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1582 vs Troyan 1689
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Troyan 100%
Troyan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 40% vs Troyan 70%
Troyan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -2 · Troyan +5
Troyan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.67 / Troyan 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13208080
Volkov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 165 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it84% 116 of 139
Troyan2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 50 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov6wins
AwayTroyan4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayTroyan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov6Troyan4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov6Troyan4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov6Troyan4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov2Troyan5n = 7Troyan took 5 of 7
S5Volkov2Troyan1n = 3Volkov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovTroyanV − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.2−2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 778 vs 478 / 97652.2%49%406 / 778 vs 478 / 976Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.67/Troyan 2.10
Miss
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Yurii Volkov @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 05:05Y. Volkov44111129113A. Troyan46811101162
LSep 25 · 06:00Y. Volkov26117171A. Troyan4291111113
WSep 22 · 06:00Y. Volkov4171211113A. Troyan331110481
WSep 21 · 04:30Y. Volkov341211113A. Troyan1710340
WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov331111113A. Troyan207850
LSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov27711451A. Troyan4211911113
WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov3611113113A. Troyan32881151
LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov132650A. Troyan331111113
WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov44512115113A. Troyan46111091152
LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov4312811752A. Troyan511011811113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 28 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911111113Y. Volkov1.805460LSep 28 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.4091191142A. Martyniuk2.75118114113WSep 28 · 07:00I. Emets2.75138281Y. Volkov1.40111111113WSep 28 · 05:30Y. Volkov1.5081211123V. Bilobrov2.5011107101WSep 26 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.831111183I. Efimenko1.8346160LSep 26 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.57118861D. Khairov2.2571111113LSep 26 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.8311771172V. Vietrov1.83711117113LSep 26 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.737129121Y. Kovshun2.00111011143WSep 26 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.61111129113A. Troyan2.20811101162LSep 25 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7381050Y. Kovshun2.001112113
A. Troyan10
WSep 28 · 10:00A. Martyniuk2.256850A. Troyan1.571111113WSep 28 · 08:30I. Emets1.5356100A. Troyan2.381111123WSep 28 · 06:30V. Bilobrov3.401113831A. Troyan1.3051511113WSep 28 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov3.4081050A. Troyan1.301112113WSep 26 · 11:35D. Khairov2.25711141A. Troyan1.5711411113LSep 26 · 10:35Y. Kovshun1.53119911113A. Troyan2.3871111872WSep 26 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.33981581A. Troyan3.25111113113LSep 26 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.1011911113A. Troyan1.67711751LSep 26 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.61111129113A. Troyan2.20811101162WSep 25 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.105640A. Troyan1.671111113
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