TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Vietrov vs Yaroslav Kovshun 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Vitalii Vietrov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117211311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Vietrov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Vietrov above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 65 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Vitalii Vietrov at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Vietrov 2–1 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vietrov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vietrov 1612 vs Kovshun 1631
Kovshun
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vietrov 60% vs Kovshun 80%
Kovshun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vietrov 50% vs Kovshun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vietrov -1 · Kovshun +3
Kovshun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vietrov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVietrov 1.80 / Kovshun 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vietrov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13196648
Vietrov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Kovshun1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 49 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVietrov2wins
AwayKovshun1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVietrov leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vietrov1Kovshun2n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
S2Vietrov3Kovshun0n = 3Vietrov took 3 of 3
S3Vietrov1Kovshun2n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
S4Vietrov2Kovshun1n = 3Vietrov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVietrovKovshunV − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.042.7+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVietrovKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 88 vs 339 / 63260.2%53.6%53 / 88 vs 339 / 632Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VietrovVietrov 1.80/Kovshun 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vietrov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 07:35V. Vietrov3911116113Y. Kovshun34781181
WJun 28 · 08:05V. Vietrov50711129113Y. Kovshun49119101182
LJun 20 · 08:05V. Vietrov4331191192Y. Kovshun45113119113
V. Vietrov10
LSep 26 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.6171111113V. Vietrov2.20118491WSep 26 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.8311771172V. Vietrov1.83711117113WSep 26 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.1011911113A. Troyan1.67711751WSep 26 · 06:05D. Khairov2.381012771V. Vietrov1.53121011113LSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113LSep 10 · 10:05V. Kolesnykov1.731111113V. Vietrov2.005250WSep 10 · 08:05O. Volynets1.83107100V. Vietrov1.831211123LSep 10 · 07:05V. Vietrov2.10121291242A. Troyan1.6710141110113WSep 10 · 06:05D. Khairov2.38111061152V. Vietrov1.53512111113LJul 25 · 11:35V. Vietrov2.50113971V. Kryvenko1.5031111113
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 26 · 10:35Y. Kovshun1.53119911113A. Troyan2.3871111872WSep 26 · 08:35D. Khairov3.251341110112Y. Kovshun1.331111312133WSep 26 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.737129121Y. Kovshun2.00111011143LSep 26 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.611111113Y. Kovshun2.208970WSep 25 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7381050Y. Kovshun2.001112113LSep 25 · 09:30Y. Kovshun2.1011911682S. Kyienko1.67711511113LSep 25 · 08:30Y. Kovshun1.67111251172O. Karpenko2.10614114113LSep 25 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.7391111882A. Martyniuk2.00118511113WSep 25 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.501081111113A. Troyan2.5012113882WSep 22 · 11:00A. Martyniuk1.839191161Y. Kovshun1.8311218113
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