TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Rostislav Niezgoda vs Tadeas Zika 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161012711211––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Rostislav Niezgoda @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 70 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 60.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 4–3 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Niezgoda
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1873 vs Zika 1820
Niezgoda
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 80% vs Zika 60%
Niezgoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 70% vs Zika 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda -1 · Zika -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Niezgoda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.61 / Zika 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Niezgoda)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210351
Niezgoda1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 10 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Zika2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 28)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 302 of 655
Down 0–1, comes back27% 88 of 328
Down 0–2, comes back8% 13 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNiezgoda4wins
AwayZika3wins
6 of 7 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 4–3, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgoda75%3 of 4
AwayZika66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda4Zika3n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S2Niezgoda4Zika3n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S3Niezgoda4Zika3n = 7Niezgoda took 4 of 7
S4Niezgoda3Zika3n = 6split evenly
S5Niezgoda3Zika3n = 6split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricNiezgodaZikaN − ZBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match45.942.1+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 28 vs 804 / 174060.7%46.2%17 / 28 vs 804 / 1740Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.61/Zika 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Rostislav Niezgoda @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 24 · 17:30R. Niezgoda4681411762T. Zika501112511113
WSep 24 · 15:30R. Niezgoda44115116113T. Zika4591181162
WSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda331111113T. Zika166730
WSep 19 · 11:00R. Niezgoda48711811113T. Zika4411711782
WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda561114911113T. Zika4661611852
LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda4611812692T. Zika507111011113
LSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda485111011112T. Zika44115123133
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 24 · 17:30R. Niezgoda1.5581411762T. Zika2.301112511113WSep 24 · 16:00R. Niezgoda1.83131111113J. Szotkowski1.83157971WSep 24 · 15:30T. Zika2.3891181162R. Niezgoda1.53115116113WSep 24 · 14:00R. Niezgoda1.85591113113M. Biolek1.85111151132WSep 22 · 17:30M. Biolek1.9181140R. Niezgoda1.801113113WSep 22 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.201111113J. Szotkowski1.618560WSep 22 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.911111123J. Dzida1.8085100LSep 22 · 14:00M. Biolek1.91611811113R. Niezgoda1.8011711762LSep 20 · 21:09R. Niezgoda2.00691191R. Polasek1.7311117113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113
T. Zika10
LSep 28 · 09:30R. Revay1.901112113T. Zika1.8061060LSep 28 · 08:30T. Zika1.80116111082R. Revay1.91611912113WSep 28 · 07:00T. Zika2.10139114113J. Szotkowski1.67111171152WSep 28 · 06:00J. Pilch1.73761191T. Zika2.0011119113WSep 25 · 09:30T. Zika1.8091311113P. Wawrosz1.911111971WSep 25 · 08:00T. Zika1.73101111123R. Revay2.001246101WSep 25 · 07:30M. Navedla2.007780T. Zika1.731111113LSep 25 · 06:00T. Zika1.67101080P. Wawrosz2.101212113WSep 24 · 17:30R. Niezgoda1.5581411762T. Zika2.301112511113LSep 24 · 15:30T. Zika2.3891181162R. Niezgoda1.53115116113
Upcoming Matches
R. Niezgoda
T. Zika
Sep 29 · 16:30T. Zika1.83O. Paril1.83—Sep 29 · 18:30T. Zika1.80R. Revay1.91—Sep 29 · 19:00T. Zika2.10T. Dousek1.67—Sep 29 · 20:00T. Zika2.75J. Dzida1.40—Sep 30 · 14:30T. Zika1.67M. Navedla2.10—Sep 30 · 15:00T. Zika1.91J. Pilch1.80—Sep 30 · 16:00T. Zika2.10T. Dousek1.67—Sep 30 · 18:30T. Zika2.10T. Dousek1.67—Sep 30 · 19:30T. Zika1.80R. Revay1.91—Sep 30 · 20:30T. Zika2.63D. Opanasiuk1.44—
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