TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Chodorski vs Adrian Wiecek 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Piotr Chodorski
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Chodorski 24–29 Adrian Wiecek Piotr Chodorski has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
24-29 in 53
Wiecek
Correct
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chodorski 1756 vs Wiecek 1903
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chodorski 20% vs Wiecek 40%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chodorski 30% vs Wiecek 60%
Wiecek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chodorski -2 · Wiecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wiecek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChodorski 1.83 / Wiecek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiecek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13210196
Chodorski1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Wiecek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChodorski2wins
AwayWiecek8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWiecek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChodorskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWiecek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chodorski2Wiecek8n = 10Wiecek took 8 of 10
S2Chodorski6Wiecek4n = 10Chodorski took 6 of 10
S3Chodorski4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4Chodorski3Wiecek6n = 9Wiecek took 6 of 9
S5Chodorski1Wiecek3n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChodorskiWiecekC − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.043.0−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChodorskiWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 391 vs 758 / 137550.9%55.1%199 / 391 vs 758 / 1375Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.840.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekChodorski 1.83/Wiecek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 07:45P. Chodorski37811991A. Wiecek4211911113
LApr 1 · 10:45P. Chodorski207760A. Wiecek331111113
WApr 1 · 08:25P. Chodorski4913119163A. Wiecek4311711141
LMar 31 · 15:35P. Chodorski4691111782A. Wiecek43114611113
LMar 31 · 07:40P. Chodorski4071161152A. Wiecek50118119113
LMar 30 · 19:45P. Chodorski408101391A. Wiecek45111211113
LMar 30 · 11:05P. Chodorski34971171A. Wiecek4211119113
LMar 23 · 12:10P. Chodorski3910114141A. Wiecek4312411163
LMar 4 · 15:50P. Chodorski43111011472A. Wiecek47812511113
WFeb 24 · 11:25P. Chodorski521012811113A. Wiecek42121011542
P. Chodorski10
LSep 29 · 06:30P. Chodorski2.109101171P. David1.6711126113LSep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.9161111982J. Zandecki1.80117911113WSep 29 · 04:10G. Felkel1.67105100P. Chodorski2.101211123LSep 29 · 03:25P. Chodorski2.00119861J. Kosowski1.7371111113LSep 28 · 14:35P. Chodorski2.386811101J. Kosowski1.5311117123WSep 28 · 12:55P. Chodorski2.00111213113M. Jadczyk1.736141191LSep 28 · 11:40P. Chodorski2.2511611642G. Felkel1.57711611113LSep 28 · 10:00P. Chodorski2.2011641162K. Petas1.61911114113WSep 28 · 09:00P. Chodorski1.831111123T. Spanik1.8325100LSep 28 · 08:05P. Chodorski1.83911831T. Spanik1.8311411113
A. Wiecek10
LSep 29 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73611711113A. Wiecek2.0011311692WSep 29 · 06:05A. Wiecek1.67111311113J. Kosowski2.10615891LSep 29 · 04:30A. Wiecek1.8394120J. Zandecki1.831111143LSep 29 · 03:45P. David1.611311113A. Wiecek2.2011770WSep 22 · 13:45G. Felkel1.91117871A. Wiecek1.8091111113LSep 22 · 12:55J. Kosowski2.10111014123A. Wiecek1.6761212101WSep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.831011119113D. Michna1.8312981192WSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Murawski1.831121191A. Wiecek1.8391113113
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