TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Petr David vs Adrian Wiecek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117117––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:41 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Petr David at 58.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 67–37 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 37 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-37 in 104
David
Correct
gap of 30 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1943 vs Wiecek 1917
David
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Wiecek 80%
Wiecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 50% vs Wiecek 70%
Wiecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Wiecek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans David) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.61 / Wiecek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (David)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13210086
David1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 232 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it82% 173 of 210
Wiecek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 71 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid7wins
AwayWiecek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%6 of 6
AwayWiecek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David6Wiecek4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S2David6Wiecek4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3David5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S4David6Wiecek3n = 9David took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidWiecekD − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.2+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 974 vs 756 / 137066.2%55.2%645 / 974 vs 756 / 1370Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.61/Wiecek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:05P. David4211146113A. Wiecek378121161
LSep 3 · 12:30P. David351081161A. Wiecek4112117113
LAug 4 · 10:25P. David4010911101A. Wiecek4112116123
WAug 4 · 03:25P. David341112113A. Wiecek2051050
WJul 1 · 13:45P. David4915911143A. Wiecek4413118121
WJul 1 · 08:30P. David4111118113A. Wiecek29931161
WJun 30 · 11:40P. David4891711113A. Wiecek371115741
WJun 30 · 04:55P. David48127611123A. Wiecek451011113102
LJun 10 · 10:25P. David30511681A. Wiecek4111811113
WJun 10 · 06:40P. David4011116123A. Wiecek379711101
P. David10
LSep 29 · 04:55P. David1.918131161J. Kosowski1.8011155113LSep 25 · 15:25P. David1.363770K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 25 · 13:45K. Wloczko3.5081311101P. David1.2811159123WSep 25 · 12:55M. Miastowski2.50111181082P. David1.50681112113WSep 25 · 12:05P. David1.401111910113J. Kuzmicz2.7569111262LSep 25 · 10:50P. David1.531112111182M. Jadczyk2.38414135113WSep 25 · 08:30K. Wloczko3.5014760P. David1.281611113LSep 25 · 07:20P. David2.0041161182A. Abbasi1.73113113113LSep 25 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.101513123P. David1.671311100LSep 25 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.75412811113P. David1.40111011962
A. Wiecek10
LSep 29 · 04:30A. Wiecek1.8394120J. Zandecki1.831111143WSep 22 · 13:45G. Felkel1.91117871A. Wiecek1.8091111113LSep 22 · 12:55J. Kosowski2.10111014123A. Wiecek1.6761212101WSep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.831011119113D. Michna1.8312981192WSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Murawski1.831121191A. Wiecek1.8391113113LSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153WSep 22 · 06:05D. Michna2.0091090A. Wiecek1.731112113LSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski2.0011511113A. Wiecek1.73611391
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 29 · 05:40P. David1.44G. Felkel2.63—Sep 29 · 06:30P. David1.67P. Chodorski2.10—Sep 29 · 08:05P. David1.53J. Zandecki2.38—Sep 29 · 09:20P. David1.44G. Felkel2.63—Sep 29 · 10:50P. David1.67P. Chodorski2.10—Sep 29 · 12:05P. David1.91J. Kosowski1.80—Sep 29 · 13:20P. David1.50J. Zandecki2.50—Sep 29 · 14:35P. David1.73A. Wiecek2.00—
A. Wiecek
Sep 29 · 06:05A. Wiecek1.67J. Kosowski2.10—Sep 29 · 06:55A. Wiecek2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 29 · 07:45A. Wiecek1.83P. Chodorski1.83—Sep 29 · 09:00A. Wiecek2.00J. Zandecki1.73—Sep 29 · 10:00A. Wiecek2.00G. Felkel1.73—Sep 29 · 11:40A. Wiecek1.83P. Chodorski1.83—Sep 29 · 12:55A. Wiecek1.67J. Kosowski2.10—Sep 29 · 14:35A. Wiecek2.00P. David1.73—
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