TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Mariusz Baron 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161012811411––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1161012811411––
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 137–86 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 86 of their 223 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
137-86 in 223
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 51 in 223, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1535 vs Baron 1314
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 221 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 80% vs Baron 60%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 90% vs Baron 50%
Pruszkowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski -1 · Baron -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.40 / Baron 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+1.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13208454
Pruszkowski1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 444 of 680
Up 2–0, closes it95% 225 of 236
Up 1–0, closes it83% 341 of 411
Baron2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 190 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back25% 65 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski6wins
AwayBaron4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski75%3 of 4
AwayBaron50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S2Pruszkowski6Baron4n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski7Baron3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Pruszkowski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiBaronP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.6+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime1143 / 1799 vs 873 / 182863.5%47.8%1143 / 1799 vs 873 / 1828Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.40/Baron 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski49811118113M. Baron4411961172
LSep 14 · 09:55J. Pruszkowski4071111562M. Baron49118811113
WSep 8 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski331111113M. Baron258980
WSep 8 · 08:45J. Pruszkowski4271111133M. Baron361186111
LAug 6 · 00:25J. Pruszkowski28113951M. Baron4291111113
WAug 5 · 20:45J. Pruszkowski3611311113M. Baron24311551
LAug 3 · 01:55J. Pruszkowski2510870M. Baron341211113
WAug 2 · 19:55J. Pruszkowski4691511113M. Baron421113991
LJul 31 · 00:00J. Pruszkowski207580M. Baron331111113
WJul 7 · 05:05J. Pruszkowski331111113M. Baron178360
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 27 · 20:45P. Adamus1.5711911113J. Pruszkowski2.20511881WSep 27 · 19:30W. Urban2.2017990J. Pruszkowski1.601911113WSep 27 · 17:55O. Vincenec2.859450J. Pruszkowski1.361111113WSep 24 · 17:05J. Pruszkowski1.22711811113P. Slosarczyk4.0011611792WSep 24 · 15:30J. Pruszkowski1.8811312123P. Kurek1.8351110101WSep 24 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.46881111133S. Juzek2.55111197112WSep 24 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.4315813123W. Glanowski2.64131111101WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pruszkowski1.851111113P. Gumulinski1.806550WSep 24 · 10:20W. Glanowski3.009780J. Pruszkowski1.321111113WSep 24 · 09:30P. Kurek2.3084100J. Pruszkowski1.521111123
M. Baron10
LSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132LSep 27 · 19:10P. Adamus1.62119613113M. Baron2.17711111182WSep 27 · 17:30P. Kurek1.66710110M. Baron2.051112133WSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec1.801091181M. Baron1.9112118113WSep 26 · 01:25M. Baron2.2511911113L. Oracz1.57711581WSep 26 · 00:10O. Sokolowski1.80611671M. Baron1.9111611113LSep 25 · 22:55R. Szymik1.4011116113M. Baron2.75861151LSep 25 · 21:20K. Juszczyk1.73199117123M. Baron2.001711811102WSep 25 · 20:05M. Baron2.00611119113L. Oracz1.7311571182LSep 25 · 18:30K. Juszczyk1.6711129113M. Baron2.109101181
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