TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Kohut vs Vasily Verbyany 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118511119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vasily Verbyany @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 58.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 57–54 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 54 of their 111 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Verbyany
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-54 in 111
Kohut
Correct
gap of 3 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1910 vs Verbyany 1987
Verbyany
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 20% vs Verbyany 40%
Verbyany
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 40% vs Verbyany 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Verbyany -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Verbyany) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 2.10 / Verbyany 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Verbyany)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13208267
Kohut2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 108 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back17% 27 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Verbyany1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 50 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 39 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut3wins
AwayVerbyany7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVerbyany leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut60%3 of 5
AwayVerbyany100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut5Verbyany5n = 10split evenly
S2Kohut5Verbyany5n = 10split evenly
S3Kohut1Verbyany9n = 10Verbyany took 9 of 10
S4Kohut5Verbyany3n = 8Kohut took 5 of 8
S5Kohut1Verbyany3n = 4Verbyany took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutVerbyanyK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.242.1−4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 678 vs 346 / 82544%41.9%298 / 678 vs 346 / 825Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyKohut 2.10/Verbyany 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.6%
Verbyany · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vasily Verbyany @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 23:15B. Kohut196670V. Verbyany331111113
WSep 23 · 07:35B. Kohut4411126153V. Verbyany4061011131
LSep 22 · 12:35B. Kohut29115491V. Verbyany3961111113
WSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut4011116123V. Verbyany315511101
WSep 21 · 20:30B. Kohut50155811113V. Verbyany51131111972
LSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut4046111182V. Verbyany46111194113
LSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut45111312182V. Verbyany503111411113
LSep 13 · 20:45B. Kohut2261060V. Verbyany341112113
LSep 11 · 07:55B. Kohut356126111V. Verbyany45111011133
LSep 8 · 05:35B. Kohut48811121162V. Verbyany52118148113
B. Kohut10
LSep 28 · 13:25B. Kohut3.2591161162N. Danyliuk1.33113113113WSep 28 · 11:55B. Kohut1.8371111113D. Zeniuk1.83117861LSep 28 · 00:45A. Molochko1.40118118153B. Kohut2.75911811132LSep 27 · 23:15B. Kohut2.206670V. Verbyany1.611111113LSep 27 · 21:45B. Kohut3.5012161291N. Danyliuk1.28141414113WSep 27 · 20:15B. Kohut1.8310121310113D. Zeniuk1.831210111262LSep 23 · 11:35B. Kohut2.6367100A. Molochko1.441111123LSep 23 · 09:35N. Danyliuk1.30891511113B. Kohut3.40111113792WSep 23 · 07:35V. Verbyany1.6761011131B. Kohut2.1011126153WSep 23 · 06:35B. Kohut1.8311116113D. Zeniuk1.83131171
V. Verbyany10
LSep 28 · 13:55A. Molochko1.7371111113V. Verbyany2.00118191WSep 28 · 12:25N. Danyliuk1.50111051182V. Verbyany2.50712115113LSep 28 · 01:50V. Verbyany2.20711661A. Molochko1.6111911113LSep 28 · 00:15V. Verbyany1.674111061D. Zeniuk2.1011712113WSep 27 · 23:15B. Kohut2.206670V. Verbyany1.611111113WSep 27 · 22:15A. Molochko1.738670V. Verbyany2.001111113LSep 27 · 20:45N. Danyliuk1.50871111163V. Verbyany2.50111199142LSep 23 · 10:35V. Verbyany2.63641111102N. Danyliuk1.44111199123LSep 23 · 09:05V. Verbyany5.005490A. Grebeniuk1.141111113LSep 23 · 07:35V. Verbyany1.6761011131B. Kohut2.1011126153
Upcoming Matches
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