TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Kulbach vs Vitalii Slobodian 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211611––––
Vitalii Slobodian
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–0Last 3Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:36 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Slobodian to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Vitalii Slobodian below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii Slobodian at 75.0%
48 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Slobodian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Slobodian 100%
Slobodian
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 20% vs Slobodian 100%
Slobodian
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -3 · Slobodian +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Slobodian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slobodian form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 3.75 / Slobodian 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Slobodian)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13207521
Kulbach3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog17% won 17 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Slobodian1.25
100%won 3 of 3 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 3 of 3
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachSlobodianBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 195 vs 3 / 324.6%100%48 / 195 vs 3 / 3Avg sets wonper match1.43.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SlobodianKulbach 3.75/Slobodian 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Slobodian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slobodian won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kulbach10
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V. Slobodian3
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