TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Zeman vs Simon Matousch 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3116111161210116
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Simon Matousch below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-5
Point 82 set 5, 7-5
82 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Zeman 20–0 Simon Matousch Simon Matousch has won 0 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zeman beat Matousch 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matousch form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.25 / Matousch 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Zeman)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13201696
Zeman1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 114 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it91% 70 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it80% 90 of 113
Matousch3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 19 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman10wins
AwayMatousch0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman100%9 of 9
AwayMatouschn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman9Matousch1n = 10Zeman took 9 of 10
S2Zeman7Matousch3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Zeman6Matousch4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S4Zeman5Matousch1n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
S5Zeman3Matousch0n = 3Zeman took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanMatouschZ − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.430.4+10.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanMatouschBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 612 vs 149 / 32952.9%45.3%324 / 612 vs 149 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.25/Matousch 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 16:25R. Zeman331111113S. Matousch177370
WNov 14 · 23:05R. Zeman331111113S. Matousch143560
WNov 14 · 22:25R. Zeman4616118113S. Matousch361461151
WOct 3 · 21:10R. Zeman46119411113S. Matousch4161111852
WSep 4 · 17:10R. Zeman491061111113S. Matousch4012113772
WJun 12 · 18:15R. Zeman4111811113S. Matousch33611791
WJun 12 · 16:10R. Zeman331111113S. Matousch226790
WMay 9 · 14:40R. Zeman51111188133S. Matousch50891111112
WMay 2 · 13:20R. Zeman3911116113S. Matousch32791151
WMay 2 · 11:50R. Zeman331111113S. Matousch197660
R. Zeman10
LSep 26 · 16:55P. Cibik1.571111113R. Zeman2.255510WSep 26 · 16:25S. Matousch3.757370R. Zeman1.251111113LSep 26 · 15:25R. Zeman2.0010118111O. Hula1.7312811133LSep 24 · 21:58R. Zeman1.36811119132M. Nemec3.00119911153WSep 24 · 20:50M. Nemec3.001013691R. Zeman1.36121111113WSep 24 · 19:50R. Zeman1.101112113M. Kolbusovsky6.5071070WSep 24 · 18:20M. Dlask2.2065130R. Zeman1.611111153LSep 21 · 21:55J. Mach1.40961112113R. Zeman2.75111161072WSep 21 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.4037100R. Zeman2.751111123WSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870
S. Matousch10
WSep 26 · 17:25O. Hula1.571011118102S. Matousch2.25125911123LSep 26 · 16:25S. Matousch3.757370R. Zeman1.251111113LSep 26 · 14:55P. Cibik1.57121111113S. Matousch2.25143771WSep 21 · 13:30S. Matousch1.831112123J. Vintr1.83510100LSep 21 · 12:20S. Matousch1.4411118582M. Kolbusovsky2.63891111113WSep 21 · 11:20S. Matousch1.91612127113J. Vintr1.801110101172LSep 21 · 10:20S. Matousch3.00107100T. Jr1.361211123LSep 16 · 21:23P. Cibik1.7211111113S. Matousch2.00851171LSep 16 · 20:20S. Matousch1.8310111081P. Cibik1.8312512113LSep 16 · 19:20S. Matousch1.6711911882Z. Vyskocil2.10611611113
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