TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Janus Slawomir vs Krzysztof Malcher 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12107111012811––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJanus Slawomir above · Krzysztof Malcher below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Janus Slawomir at 58.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Janus Slawomir 3–3 Krzysztof Malcher Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Slawomir beat Malcher 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slawomir
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1328 vs Malcher 1299
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 40% vs Malcher 20%
Slawomir
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 40% vs Malcher 20%
Slawomir
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir -1 · Malcher -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Slawomir) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.50 / Malcher 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Slawomir)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13200556
Slawomir1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 53 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Malcher2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 28 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSlawomir3wins
AwayMalcher3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomir66.7%2 of 3
AwayMalcher66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir3Malcher3n = 6split evenly
S2Slawomir4Malcher2n = 6Slawomir took 4 of 6
S3Slawomir3Malcher3n = 6split evenly
S4Slawomir2Malcher3n = 5Malcher took 3 of 5
S5Slawomir2Malcher2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSlawomirMalcherS − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match44.745.7−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 169 vs 40 / 11156.2%36%95 / 169 vs 40 / 111Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.633.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawomirSlawomir 1.50/Malcher 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Slawomir · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Malcher won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 26 · 21:20J. Slawomir371271081K. Malcher44101112113
WSep 26 · 15:25J. Slawomir48111169113K. Malcher4899111182
LAug 29 · 22:35J. Slawomir4281111662K. Malcher50119811113
WAug 29 · 15:00J. Slawomir331111113K. Malcher259790
LJul 18 · 21:00J. Slawomir51111291182K. Malcher541310119113
WJul 18 · 16:35J. Slawomir5713101211113K. Malcher53151210972
J. Slawomir10
WSep 26 · 22:10K. Kwiatkowski2.101017111292J. Slawomir1.671215614113LSep 26 · 19:40J. Slawomir1.6747110K. Kwiatkowski2.101111133WSep 26 · 18:30J. Slawomir2.101111412113P. Gesiarz1.6797111472LSep 26 · 17:20J. Slawomir1.2261115792A. Szurgot4.001191311113LSep 26 · 16:15J. Michalik1.83115118113J. Slawomir1.8371161142WSep 26 · 15:25J. Slawomir1.57111169113K. Malcher2.2599111182WSep 23 · 22:20J. Slawomir2.905111011113H. Tkaczyk1.3511812892LSep 23 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.6061030M. Karpiuk2.101112113LSep 23 · 19:55J. Slawomir2.151110101192J. Zelezik1.55712126113LSep 23 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.40111111113J. Slawomir2.65139841
K. Malcher10
LSep 26 · 20:30J. Michalik1.611111133K. Malcher2.2086110WSep 26 · 19:20K. Malcher1.361211113A. Szurgot3.0010860LSep 26 · 18:10K. Kwiatkowski1.501111113K. Malcher2.506980LSep 26 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.73111179113K. Malcher2.0065111172LSep 26 · 15:25J. Slawomir1.57111169113K. Malcher2.2599111182WSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133LSep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.501114123K. Malcher2.50812100LSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:35T. Kocik1.101111113K. Malcher6.505960LSep 19 · 21:00J. Oracz1.251111113K. Malcher3.758960
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