TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Janus Slawomir vs Krzysztof Malcher 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119119611911118
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJanus Slawomir above · Krzysztof Malcher below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 2-3
Point 82 set 5, 2-3 — our read held Janus Slawomir at 58.6%
82 points drawn · the score is 14 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Janus Slawomir 2–2 Krzysztof Malcher Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slawomir
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1369 vs Malcher 1305
Slawomir
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 40% vs Malcher 20%
Slawomir
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 50% vs Malcher 30%
Slawomir
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +1 · Malcher +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slawomir)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.57 / Malcher 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Slawomir)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13193693
Slawomir1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 53 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Malcher2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 28 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlawomir2wins
AwayMalcher2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomirn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMalcher66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Malcher3n = 4Malcher took 3 of 4
S2Slawomir3Malcher1n = 4Slawomir took 3 of 4
S3Slawomir3Malcher1n = 4Slawomir took 3 of 4
S4Slawomir2Malcher1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S5Slawomir1Malcher2n = 3Malcher took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSlawomirMalcherS − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match45.845.5+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 163 vs 38 / 10557.1%36.2%93 / 163 vs 38 / 105Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.533.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawomirSlawomir 1.57/Malcher 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Slawomir · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slawomir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 22:35J. Slawomir4281111662K. Malcher50119811113
WAug 29 · 15:00J. Slawomir331111113K. Malcher259790
LJul 18 · 21:00J. Slawomir51111291182K. Malcher541310119113
WJul 18 · 16:35J. Slawomir5713101211113K. Malcher53151210972
J. Slawomir10
LSep 26 · 16:15J. Michalik1.83115118113J. Slawomir1.8371161142WSep 23 · 22:20J. Slawomir2.905111011113H. Tkaczyk1.3511812892LSep 23 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.6061030M. Karpiuk2.101112113LSep 23 · 19:55J. Slawomir2.151110101192J. Zelezik1.55712126113LSep 23 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.40111111113J. Slawomir2.65139841WSep 23 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.831111133K. Kwiatkowski1.8342110LSep 21 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.4011611962H. Tkaczyk1.50911711113LSep 21 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.60371171J. Michalik2.1011119113WSep 21 · 07:50W. Stechly4.501191312102J. Slawomir1.109111114123WSep 21 · 06:10J. Slawomir1.041111113T. Kordaszewski5.954580
K. Malcher10
LSep 26 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.73111179113K. Malcher2.0065111172WSep 20 · 02:10D. Maszczynski2.63105110K. Malcher1.441211133LSep 20 · 01:25G. Mucha1.501114123K. Malcher2.50812100LSep 19 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.731311113K. Malcher2.0011640LSep 19 · 22:35T. Kocik1.101111113K. Malcher6.505960LSep 19 · 21:00J. Oracz1.251111113K. Malcher3.758960WSep 19 · 20:05D. Maszczynski2.6311950K. Malcher1.441311113LSep 19 · 19:20G. Mucha1.505111210133K. Malcher2.501181012112WSep 19 · 17:20P. Gesiarz1.83511119112K. Malcher1.83119311133LSep 19 · 16:35J. Oracz1.30911116113K. Malcher3.4011591192
Upcoming Matches
J. Slawomir
Sep 26 · 18:30J. Slawomir1.80P. Gesiarz1.91—Sep 26 · 19:40J. Slawomir1.67K. Kwiatkowski2.10—Sep 26 · 21:20J. Slawomir1.57K. Malcher2.25—Sep 26 · 22:10J. Slawomir1.67K. Kwiatkowski2.10—Sep 26 · 23:20J. Slawomir—A. Szurgot——Sep 27 · 00:35J. Slawomir—P. Gesiarz——Sep 27 · 01:45J. Slawomir1.83J. Michalik1.83—
K. Malcher
Sep 26 · 18:10K. Malcher2.50K. Kwiatkowski1.50—Sep 26 · 19:20K. Malcher1.36A. Szurgot3.00—Sep 26 · 20:30K. Malcher2.10J. Michalik1.67—Sep 26 · 21:20K. Malcher2.25J. Slawomir1.57—Sep 26 · 22:55K. Malcher2.00P. Gesiarz1.73—Sep 27 · 00:10K. Malcher2.00J. Michalik1.73—Sep 27 · 01:25K. Malcher—A. Szurgot——Sep 27 · 02:35K. Malcher2.38K. Kwiatkowski1.53—
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