TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Dabrowski vs Bartlomiej Mleczko 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118811511711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
119118811511711
H2H Igor Dabrowski 9–14 Bartlomiej Mleczko Igor Dabrowski has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Mleczko
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1424 vs Mleczko 1394
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Mleczko 20%
Dabrowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 60% vs Mleczko 30%
Dabrowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Mleczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 2.10 / Mleczko 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Mleczko)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13199060
Dabrowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 111 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Mleczko1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 102 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 71 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski3wins
AwayMleczko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMleczko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayMleczko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski3Mleczko7n = 10Mleczko took 7 of 10
S2Dabrowski6Mleczko4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S3Dabrowski6Mleczko4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S4Dabrowski4Mleczko6n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S5Dabrowski1Mleczko4n = 5Mleczko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiMleczkoD − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.443.2−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1578 vs 412 / 79950.4%51.6%796 / 1578 vs 412 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoDabrowski 2.10/Mleczko 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.2%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski35791181B. Mleczko4211119113
LAug 6 · 13:05I. Dabrowski351141191B. Mleczko4213117113
WAug 6 · 06:05I. Dabrowski4212127113B. Mleczko3810101171
WJul 31 · 09:00I. Dabrowski44111138113B. Mleczko4168111152
LJul 4 · 18:55I. Dabrowski4159111152B. Mleczko48111178113
LMay 31 · 09:55I. Dabrowski4581111782B. Mleczko51119911113
LMay 23 · 14:45I. Dabrowski29511671B. Mleczko3711411113
LMay 23 · 03:55I. Dabrowski43111111462B. Mleczko49135911113
LMay 18 · 13:55I. Dabrowski48118811102B. Mleczko51911118123
WMay 18 · 08:35I. Dabrowski4291111113B. Mleczko33117691
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 26 · 09:20I. Dabrowski2.70311681A. Wos1.4111711113LSep 26 · 06:50I. Dabrowski3.4588100D. Kosmal1.251111123WSep 26 · 05:35I. Dabrowski1.75131249113J. Wozniak1.901110111192WSep 26 · 04:00I. Dabrowski2.2511611113J. Zochniak1.58811931WSep 26 · 03:00I. Dabrowski2.05811117113T. Piotrowski1.6811951162LSep 20 · 14:35I. Dabrowski1.8681181182M. Misiak1.80113118113WSep 20 · 13:00I. Dabrowski1.78711911113M. Zagajewski1.9111611472WSep 20 · 11:45I. Dabrowski2.251111611153K. Kufel1.54138119132LSep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.86751181P. Maruszak1.8311118113WSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152
B. Mleczko10
WSep 26 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.9041111113T. Piotrowski1.75116571LSep 26 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.361111113B. Mleczko2.905460LSep 26 · 04:50J. Wozniak1.801114113B. Mleczko1.9161280LSep 26 · 03:20J. Zochniak1.651111113B. Mleczko2.107550LSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113LSep 19 · 12:35B. Mleczko1.9512971162M. Minda1.671011118113LSep 19 · 11:20B. Mleczko2.057711111P. Blocho1.6611115133LSep 19 · 10:05A. Wos1.501111113B. Mleczko2.405570WSep 19 · 09:20B. Mleczko1.501111113W. Gronowski2.358480WSep 19 · 08:30M. Minda1.7812631152B. Mleczko1.911011117113
Upcoming Matches
I. Dabrowski
B. Mleczko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.