TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Wozniak vs Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Wozniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1161412118––––
H2H Jakub Wozniak 5–9 Bartlomiej Mleczko Jakub Wozniak has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wozniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Mleczko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wozniak 1325 vs Mleczko 1408
Mleczko
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wozniak 0% vs Mleczko 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wozniak 30% vs Mleczko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wozniak -6 · Mleczko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniak 1.80 / Mleczko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mleczko)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13197519
Wozniak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Mleczko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 51 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWozniak3wins
AwayMleczko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMleczko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWozniak50%2 of 4
AwayMleczko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wozniak4Mleczko6n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S2Wozniak2Mleczko8n = 10Mleczko took 8 of 10
S3Wozniak3Mleczko7n = 10Mleczko took 7 of 10
S4Wozniak4Mleczko3n = 7Wozniak took 4 of 7
S5Wozniak2Mleczko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWozniakMleczkoW − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.4−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniakMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 565 vs 411 / 79647.1%51.6%266 / 565 vs 411 / 796Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoWozniak 1.80/Mleczko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wozniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:00J. Wozniak48119611113B. Mleczko4481111592
LAug 1 · 13:50J. Wozniak2551190B. Mleczko351113113
WAug 1 · 08:30J. Wozniak43111110113B. Mleczko38981291
LJul 26 · 12:35J. Wozniak34771191B. Mleczko4011117113
LJul 26 · 08:30J. Wozniak197570B. Mleczko331111113
WJul 26 · 06:00J. Wozniak48711811113B. Mleczko4111511862
LJun 13 · 07:35J. Wozniak4712911782B. Mleczko501011711113
LJan 31 · 18:25J. Wozniak35116991B. Mleczko4071111113
LAug 15 · 06:30J. Wozniak2468100B. Mleczko341111123
LAug 7 · 16:15J. Wozniak4496111172B. Mleczko49111197113
J. Wozniak10
LSep 26 · 05:35I. Dabrowski1.75131249113J. Wozniak1.901110111192LSep 26 · 03:40J. Wozniak3.251011231D. Kosmal1.2712611113LSep 26 · 01:30J. Wozniak2.208960R. Malinowski1.611111113LSep 26 · 00:45K. Staszczyk1.401111113J. Wozniak2.759380LSep 25 · 23:35J. Wozniak2.38711891K. Rudomina1.5311711113LSep 25 · 22:50A. Mugowski2.001211113J. Wozniak1.7310970LSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120WSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113WSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872
B. Mleczko10
LSep 26 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.361111113B. Mleczko2.905460LSep 26 · 03:20J. Zochniak1.651111113B. Mleczko2.107550LSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113LSep 19 · 12:35B. Mleczko1.9512971162M. Minda1.671011118113LSep 19 · 11:20B. Mleczko2.057711111P. Blocho1.6611115133LSep 19 · 10:05A. Wos1.501111113B. Mleczko2.405570WSep 19 · 09:20B. Mleczko1.501111113W. Gronowski2.358480WSep 19 · 08:30M. Minda1.7812631152B. Mleczko1.911011117113LSep 19 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.5341014141D. Wrobel2.38111212163WSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113
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