TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114116––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:55 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
115114116––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 6–2 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1606 vs Mleczko 1384
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Mleczko 0%
Kosmal
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 40% vs Mleczko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +2 · Mleczko -6
Mleczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kosmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (0%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.36 / Mleczko 2.90
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13198786
Kosmal1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 151 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it95% 80 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it83% 121 of 145
Mleczko2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 51 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKosmal6wins
AwayMleczko2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal83.3%5 of 6
AwayMleczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Mleczko2n = 8Kosmal took 6 of 8
S2Kosmal5Mleczko3n = 8Kosmal took 5 of 8
S3Kosmal5Mleczko3n = 8Kosmal took 5 of 8
S4Kosmal5Mleczko1n = 6Kosmal took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKosmalMleczkoK − MBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match39.232.9+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 677 vs 411 / 79853.5%51.5%362 / 677 vs 411 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.36/Mleczko 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 26 · 06:00D. Kosmal331111113B. Mleczko155460
WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal4211128113B. Mleczko367101181
LAug 29 · 13:50D. Kosmal29511671B. Mleczko3611311113
WAug 29 · 08:30D. Kosmal4511517123B. Mleczko4481115101
WSep 21 · 10:20D. Kosmal43111011113B. Mleczko33812761
WAug 24 · 10:40D. Kosmal361111143B. Mleczko2558120
WAug 9 · 20:35D. Kosmal4291111113B. Mleczko29115581
LJul 20 · 10:20D. Kosmal4411591182B. Mleczko45411118113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 26 · 04:25D. Kosmal1.3511116113T. Piotrowski2.95371131WSep 26 · 03:40J. Wozniak3.251011231D. Kosmal1.2712611113LSep 25 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.49117911113D. Kosmal2.4581111582WSep 25 · 13:00K. Kapik1.7151011101D. Kosmal2.0011124123LSep 25 · 12:10D. Kosmal3.106980P. Klos1.301111113LSep 25 · 10:30D. Kosmal2.207740M. Malachowski1.621111113LSep 25 · 09:45M. Nowalinski1.60791114113D. Kosmal2.10111191292LSep 25 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.7371111113D. Kosmal1.98113741LSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal2.259148141M. Malachowski1.58111211163WSep 25 · 06:00P. Klos1.332101171D. Kosmal2.9511124113
B. Mleczko10
LSep 26 · 04:50J. Wozniak1.801114113B. Mleczko1.9161280LSep 26 · 03:20J. Zochniak1.651111113B. Mleczko2.107550LSep 19 · 13:50B. Mleczko2.6511811782R. Chrzescian1.40611611113LSep 19 · 12:35B. Mleczko1.9512971162M. Minda1.671011118113LSep 19 · 11:20B. Mleczko2.057711111P. Blocho1.6611115133LSep 19 · 10:05A. Wos1.501111113B. Mleczko2.405570WSep 19 · 09:20B. Mleczko1.501111113W. Gronowski2.358480WSep 19 · 08:30M. Minda1.7812631152B. Mleczko1.911011117113LSep 19 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.5341014141D. Wrobel2.38111212163WSep 19 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.20791181B. Mleczko1.6011119113
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