TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Dabrowski vs Dawid Kosmal 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8118111012––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:35 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
8118111012––––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 1–4 Dawid Kosmal Igor Dabrowski has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1424 vs Kosmal 1614
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 80% vs Kosmal 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 70% vs Kosmal 40%
Dabrowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski +3 · Kosmal +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 3.45 / Kosmal 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13198819
Dabrowski3.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 111 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Kosmal1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 151 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it95% 80 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it83% 121 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDabrowski1wins
AwayKosmal4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKosmal leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKosmal75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski1Kosmal4n = 5Kosmal took 4 of 5
S2Dabrowski3Kosmal2n = 5Dabrowski took 3 of 5
S3Dabrowski0Kosmal5n = 5Kosmal took 5 of 5
S4Dabrowski1Kosmal3n = 4Kosmal took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDabrowskiKosmalD − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match32.639.0−6.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1579 vs 363 / 67850.5%53.5%797 / 1579 vs 363 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalDabrowski 3.45/Kosmal 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 26 · 06:50I. Dabrowski2688100D. Kosmal341111123
WMay 21 · 12:40I. Dabrowski47711711113D. Kosmal3811711632
LApr 20 · 13:55I. Dabrowski30118291D. Kosmal3851111113
LMar 16 · 10:50I. Dabrowski346117101D. Kosmal4211811123
LFeb 11 · 14:05I. Dabrowski26312381D. Kosmal43111011113
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 26 · 05:35I. Dabrowski1.75131249113J. Wozniak1.901110111192WSep 26 · 04:00I. Dabrowski2.2511611113J. Zochniak1.58811931WSep 26 · 03:00I. Dabrowski2.05811117113T. Piotrowski1.6811951162LSep 20 · 14:35I. Dabrowski1.8681181182M. Misiak1.80113118113WSep 20 · 13:00I. Dabrowski1.78711911113M. Zagajewski1.9111611472WSep 20 · 11:45I. Dabrowski2.251111611153K. Kufel1.54138119132LSep 20 · 10:05I. Dabrowski1.86751181P. Maruszak1.8311118113WSep 20 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.63131367113M. Lukaszewski2.151111111152LSep 20 · 07:40P. Staniszewski2.00111179113I. Dabrowski1.7076111182WSep 20 · 06:50K. Kufel1.8061150I. Dabrowski1.911113113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 26 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.361111113B. Mleczko2.905460WSep 26 · 04:25D. Kosmal1.3511116113T. Piotrowski2.95371131WSep 26 · 03:40J. Wozniak3.251011231D. Kosmal1.2712611113LSep 25 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.49117911113D. Kosmal2.4581111582WSep 25 · 13:00K. Kapik1.7151011101D. Kosmal2.0011124123LSep 25 · 12:10D. Kosmal3.106980P. Klos1.301111113LSep 25 · 10:30D. Kosmal2.207740M. Malachowski1.621111113LSep 25 · 09:45M. Nowalinski1.60791114113D. Kosmal2.10111191292LSep 25 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.7371111113D. Kosmal1.98113741LSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal2.259148141M. Malachowski1.58111211163
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